TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x096f…5c68

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
479
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT26046.9%122 W · 138 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 260 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,186.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$820
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$186.47
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$174
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$208.02
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$110.29
Bucks vs. Netsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.82
Hornets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$128.52
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.53
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$144.77
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.02
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$78.31
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$284.62
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$68
Lakers vs. Heatbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+200.9%+$235.53
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Showing 25 of 260 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT21644%95 W · 121 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 216 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+104.7%+$715.99
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.04
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.99
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$820Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$820
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.23
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+128.3%+$1,039.5
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$545
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$889Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$610.68
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
LoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$152.5
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$144
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$145
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.55
LoL: T1 Academy vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.5
LoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.14
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.5
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+164.9%+$224.03
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs BoostGate Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoostGate Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$232
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$165
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.29
Showing 25 of 216 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$108.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$169.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.