TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$416,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$499,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafd4…7e61backed T168c23,330$15,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,526.021,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f74…de0cbacked BNK FEARX3c20,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX37c16,466$6,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,112.9959750.4%301 W · 296 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed BNK FEARX0c16,200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445873.6%21 W · 566 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+176.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX36c15,794$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,695.411,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BNK FEARX8c12,617$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.0757945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BNK FEARX36c10,975$3,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,950.8753750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed BNK FEARX36c10,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,60030845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed T164c8,846$5,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,197.911,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked T164c8,807$5,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.6970456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc840…16d6backed BNK FEARX1c8,229$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.79422.4%1 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-92.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed BNK FEARX2c8,141$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.057889.8%77 W · 711 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed T163c8,000$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,96082452.7%434 W · 390 L+41.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42e2…d154backed T176c7,944$6,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.8310253.9%55 W · 47 L+9.9wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+20.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf344…13ffbacked T168c7,796$5,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,532.7328166.5%187 W · 94 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed T164c7,077$4,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.6445366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed T164c4,366$2,794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.831,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BNK FEARX34c4,261$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,455.73,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd48…2e1abacked BNK FEARX26c4,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f2…3bc2backed BNK FEARX36c3,962$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.7853147.5%252 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed T165c3,915$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.1555056.7%312 W · 238 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed BNK FEARX37c3,656$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.4486136.2%312 W · 549 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…2748backed BNK FEARX18c3,522$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.432160.7%195 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed BNK FEARX9c3,219$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.61,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked T162c3,156$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.2555955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x13b4…f4d9backed T164c3,056$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.1526062.7%163 W · 97 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T163c3,011$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.461,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed T167c3,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00096350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed BNK FEARX15c3,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44017032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked BNK FEARX31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9944550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed T168c2,764$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.6254829.6%162 W · 386 L-36.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee1…6a80backed BNK FEARX32c2,758$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.461747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked BNK FEARX0c2,750$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132281.8%4 W · 224 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58ce…f916backed T172c2,743$1,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.958041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcfde…3f9cbacked BNK FEARX38c2,534$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.811838.1%45 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdda3…b20cbacked T165c2,231$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.111540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed BNK FEARX36c2,104$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.4432944.1%145 W · 184 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,50250.3%756 W · 746 L+71.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed BNK FEARX37c1,999$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.7653753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked T169c1,981$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.181,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed BNK FEARX13c1,970$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.8455639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed T164c1,750$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301,31055.8%731 W · 579 L+43.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked BNK FEARX18c1,731$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5929236%105 W · 187 L-0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked T164c1,570$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.021,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed T176c1,551$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.067843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked BNK FEARX38c1,530$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.6435457.9%205 W · 149 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed BNK FEARX35c1,517$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.761,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked BNK FEARX1c1,500$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132323.9%9 W · 223 L+0.3wins0.00per pick4cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX29c1,497$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.591,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81ba…a1e4backed BNK FEARX6c1,465$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3910238.2%39 W · 63 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked BNK FEARX36c1,388$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.192,01258.1%1,168 W · 844 L+84.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bb…453cbacked BNK FEARX36c1,324$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.91782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed BNK FEARX32c1,320$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.432939.8%131 W · 198 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed T169c1,266$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.4627957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed T163c1,250$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.9971249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed BNK FEARX3c1,230$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9181443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked BNK FEARX38c1,155$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0496057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked T166c1,123$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8924858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX22c1,110$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.21,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed T164c1,089$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8964553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed T165c1,048$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.4913452.2%70 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa143…586cbacked BNK FEARX3c1,010$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.326937.5%101 W · 168 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed BNK FEARX29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29021249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed BNK FEARX2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20244.2%1 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed BNK FEARX33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33052750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed BNK FEARX4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404924.5%12 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX31c999.96$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.9921154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked T178c996.63$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.181,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ccb…b632backed T169c981.4$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.231668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+97.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked T166c979.83$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.3784360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked BNK FEARX36c975.99$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7395951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed T165c958.8$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.461,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…ab69backed T168c869.92$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.5754246.3%251 W · 291 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed BNK FEARX18c864.64$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.711,13643.2%491 W · 645 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked T163c842.45$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.551,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked T174c827.45$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.621,67157.9%968 W · 703 L+70.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf29…da00backed T165c813.71$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.821948.4%106 W · 113 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed BNK FEARX36c807.6$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1357947.3%274 W · 305 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed BNK FEARX40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e4…2ed6backed BNK FEARX8c800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6420028%56 W · 144 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked T163c774.48$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5617228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked BNK FEARX37c769.76$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8128852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed T165c750.71$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1510058%58 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked T165c750$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.550355.3%278 W · 225 L-21.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed T163c749.99$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.491,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed T171c736.72$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.5285942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27c…829abacked T167c728.29$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.15058%29 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked BNK FEARX27c708.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.241,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed BNK FEARX2c700$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.71,5203.3%50 W · 1,470 L-54.0wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf270…7a37backed T165c699.98$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.999053.3%48 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed T164c698.49$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.4621556.7%122 W · 93 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked T163c695.63$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.3896347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked BNK FEARX41c684.5$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.7321258%123 W · 89 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18d6…2245backed BNK FEARX22c659.7$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.138655.8%48 W · 38 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed BNK FEARX26c658.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1962158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed BNK FEARX16c635.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.775738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcea…8d00backed BNK FEARX32c627.62$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX37c622.38$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7786144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…b3d8backed T164c611.5$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1424359.3%144 W · 99 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x542b…8aa7backed BNK FEARX7c608.67$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.613625%9 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.