TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of T1, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked T144c11,140$4,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,242.7167552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed BNK FEARX55c6,080$3,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,344.0121144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BNK FEARX55c4,106$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,271.5153750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed BNK FEARX58c3,718$2,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,156.4159450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked BNK FEARX54c2,341$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.3967056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed T149c1,990$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.391854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked T145c1,685$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.8132145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed BNK FEARX56c1,665$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.191,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed T146c1,552$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.324147.3%114 W · 127 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked T164c1,375$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.861,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed BNK FEARX54c1,303$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.6347047.4%223 W · 247 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX51c1,300$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed T144c1,072$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.31,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cd1…9249backed T142c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58017744.6%79 W · 98 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked BNK FEARX56c999.97$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9864749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed T144c896.53$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6312349.6%61 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked BNK FEARX53c846.98$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.921859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed BNK FEARX55c681.85$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.0232351.4%166 W · 157 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked T148c605.5$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.867954.4%43 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed T143c585.9$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.752,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked BNK FEARX51c573.42$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.441,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked BNK FEARX56c525.74$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.4228852.1%150 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed T146c511.15$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0243640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cca…c501backed BNK FEARX55c500$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2752828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked T143c482.9$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2526360.1%158 W · 105 L+1.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde19…3a14backed BNK FEARX64c459.53$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.113852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57b…0a2bbacked T143c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0511339.8%45 W · 68 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked T169c439.15$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1417659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed T144c435.51$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.182646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked T148c406.2$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4826645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b3…4155backed T142c400$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23230243%130 W · 172 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed BNK FEARX52c391.21$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.821,11049%544 W · 566 L+42.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed T145c334.71$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0b…612abacked T146c316.19$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0644046.4%204 W · 236 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed BNK FEARX54c306.13$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3132954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked BNK FEARX53c300$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15860538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed BNK FEARX55c299.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.991,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed BNK FEARX52c299.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.999935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed T148c290.64$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1334050%170 W · 170 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed T145c281.29$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6110039%39 W · 61 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed BNK FEARX54c252.1$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1448852%254 W · 234 L-2.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36a0…436dbacked BNK FEARX56c251$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5647738.6%184 W · 293 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed T144c241.6$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.347933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d4…3f96backed T144c230.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.125244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed T146c215.13$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8160849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa55…e024backed T147c206$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.182955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed T144c194.64$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10939450.3%198 W · 196 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f1…21fabacked BNK FEARX56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.365543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed BNK FEARX34c169.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3843348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…4c28backed BNK FEARX58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4818849.5%93 W · 95 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbff…b7a7backed T148c161.47$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.963560%21 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed T147c154.5$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8913352.6%70 W · 63 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed BNK FEARX29c154.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.742,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed BNK FEARX56c145$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.216251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed BNK FEARX56c138.4$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.912042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed T144c136.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.520631.6%65 W · 141 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed BNK FEARX55c133.57$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9628652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed BNK FEARX56c131.61$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed BNK FEARX57c118.72$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9814246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked T144c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.510639.6%42 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed T144c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.559647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked T144c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.522562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked BNK FEARX56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5626234.4%90 W · 172 L-21.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked T146c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9963646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb72…6c45backed T144c99.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.997451.4%38 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed T146c98.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3961150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed BNK FEARX56c90$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.439056.4%220 W · 170 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed T144c87.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.225154.2%136 W · 115 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed T144c87.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1932142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x321d…d0acbacked BNK FEARX56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6812462.9%78 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed T142c79.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.22,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed BNK FEARX55c78.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7358155.6%323 W · 258 L+17.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed T145c72.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6211552.2%60 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed BNK FEARX18c72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9675150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed T143c67.34$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.381,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed BNK FEARX58c67.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8986144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed T145c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4655744%245 W · 312 L-17.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked BNK FEARX64c61.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1440365%262 W · 141 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed BNK FEARX56c60.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.986063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5252…a7cdbacked T149c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2764435.4%228 W · 416 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x79c9…b2f1backed T146c55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.713531.9%43 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec6c…c407backed BNK FEARX57c54.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.992941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked T145c53.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.718148.6%88 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed T146c49.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9962649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed T146c49.08$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked T130c47.9$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed BNK FEARX27c45.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2352045%234 W · 286 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed T171c44.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0839859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed T143c44.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.118555.1%102 W · 83 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked BNK FEARX55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3316254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed T146c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7642055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a41…15b2backed T144c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.613842.8%59 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba2…6b6cbacked T146c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.728042.5%34 W · 46 L-13.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed BNK FEARX55c41.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.591,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed T144c39.34$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.037145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60eb…bb9dbacked T143c33.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.218350.3%92 W · 91 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c5…b9b6backed BNK FEARX58c33.61$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-64.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc921…d6f3backed BNK FEARX57c33.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96175.9%1 W · 16 L-5.0wins-0.29per pick35cpaid-82.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x159a…7d5fbacked BNK FEARX41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked BNK FEARX54c29.17$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7516654.2%90 W · 76 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.