TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,902
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,902 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb10b…0b04backed Over45c5,517$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,482.6351044.1%225 W · 285 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Under58c5,116$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,172.3115148.3%73 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x509d…0a6bbacked Over42c4,959$2,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,082.6867056.9%381 W · 289 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over43c4,508$1,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,938.5410048%48 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed Under55c4,233$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,905.0512236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Under55c1,914$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.9947347.4%224 W · 249 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Over45c1,738$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.3626155.9%146 W · 115 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Over47c1,031$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.0812844.5%57 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under53c1,010$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.7152750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Over42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4209545.3%43 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Under58c999.99$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204560%27 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over31c943.28$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4235054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over44c658.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9253753.6%288 W · 249 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Under55c644.4$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.981,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under61c599.96$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.9850848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Under56c518.93$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.841,23249.4%609 W · 623 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under55c517.06$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.449935.4%35 W · 64 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Over4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204924.5%12 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick18cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over59c499.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.291,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Over49c489.4$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.8675942%319 W · 440 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Over41c487.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0428843.8%126 W · 162 L-9.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Over36c470.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3110756.1%60 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Over64c397.31$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.281,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Under55c336.13$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.2621540%86 W · 129 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Over45c334.53$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5419744.2%87 W · 110 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed Over39c319.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.644231%13 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Over48c318.78$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.88146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under65c308.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.881,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde1d…c645backed Over45c292.85$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.782025%5 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under55c277.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.081,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under52c229.7$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0341141.6%171 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff81…1438backed Over42c228.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.043444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb7d…7862backed Under58c203.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.415853.4%31 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over52c195.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0915956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over33c194.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.231,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over42c185.09$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.263458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d7…dacfbacked Over44c175.71$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3128965.1%188 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c173.76$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.772,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Under55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.518141.4%75 W · 106 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked Under59c146.34$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68b3…97c8backed Over46c134.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.267145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff73…d0dfbacked Over39c123.51$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.171127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-45.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde2a…669ebacked Over34c121.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.217045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Under62c119.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.591747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under49c110.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.633,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under55c102.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.260849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Under61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3919561.5%120 W · 75 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4233254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Over42c97.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Over33c94.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2821249.1%104 W · 108 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under58c90.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.081827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under66c73.82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.148042.3%203 W · 277 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9721946.6%102 W · 117 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over31c65.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.992,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under51c64.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2440543.7%177 W · 228 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.439044.6%174 W · 216 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Over39c51.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9437641.8%157 W · 219 L-18.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f7…43fdbacked Under67c49.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under59c48.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1514246.5%66 W · 76 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over42c45.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.36953.6%37 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+31.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf10a…890cbacked Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3215255.3%84 W · 68 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d99…bf7fbacked Over43c44.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.321266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a0b…b9f8backed Under67c43.89$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483073.3%22 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Under70c42.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95567.3%37 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Under57c42.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1216851.2%86 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c39.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21,60817.5%282 W · 1,326 L-245.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under54c39.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.191,93135.9%693 W · 1,238 L-98.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Over47c38.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0539859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74e2…89a5backed Over44c35.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.282263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d1…8617backed Under70c33.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.142969%20 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under47c31.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7975150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under55c31.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…7d52backed Under65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5b…4ef4backed Over39c28.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.275648.2%27 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7259…e70fbacked Over43c25.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.823933.3%13 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Under61c24.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.73360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Over44c24.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6321233%70 W · 142 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed Under57c23.83$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.256063.3%38 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…f52ebacked Under69c21.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6114650.7%74 W · 72 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under58c20.57$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.641,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.