TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x619e…0149

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 59 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5567.3%37 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.6
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$5.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$27.92
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.6
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.74
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.57
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$33.69
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+30%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$24.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$63.82
Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$30.95
Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$33.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$17.36
Manchester City FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.47
Will Everton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.48
Liverpool FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$13.71
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$21.78
Crystal Palace FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$36.04
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.91
All 21 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.26
Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.28
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$34.7
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.69
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+77.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.