Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b2778a7a677f4638abfd78d6d42ff222be749b81bfbd74272d32f0c9368a12

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $32,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc69b…2076backed Under	66c	2,226$1,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.75	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Over	66c	1,565$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.66	324	42%136 W · 188 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under	70c	1,204$845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$358.93	195	53.3%104 W · 91 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d01…0f69backed Under	35c	1,151$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750.77	126	54.8%69 W · 57 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over	12c	988.13$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.79	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	63c	916.34$574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.38	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	29c	822.99$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.68	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6809…6d90backed Over	44c	799.99$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.81	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…0e0cbacked Over	31c	720.41$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.33	126	53.2%67 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over	15c	547$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.6	3,131	33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L	-150.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over	12c	517.25$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	488	47.3%231 W · 257 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Over	12c	500$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	55c	481.4$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.8	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under	69c	448.8$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139.36	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over	36c	404.56$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.63	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	37c	356.43$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.19	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under	46c	341.72$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.97	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Over	12c	325$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	132	42.4%56 W · 76 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Under	71c	253$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.3wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over	11c	250.56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-12.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6102…1913backed Under	59c	208.31$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.29	94	60.6%57 W · 37 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5bd…226cbacked Over	26c	206$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.58	60	41.7%25 W · 35 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	39c	203.69$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.69	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Over	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73a…0f4ebacked Over	68c	199.99$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.99	268	59.7%160 W · 108 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bd…0e7fbacked Over	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Over	68c	146.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	242	57%138 W · 104 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…39e1backed Over	36c	139.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked Under	76c	131.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.84	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Under	79c	129.44$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.54	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-5.7wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Over	25c	124.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	325	55.7%181 W · 144 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over	50c	124.38$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.94	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under	73c	116.7$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	464	52.4%243 W · 221 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over	18c	112.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Under	65c	108.15$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.02	307	31.6%97 W · 210 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Under	69c	102.06$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.64	371	61.7%229 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Over	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over	73c	98.54$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.5	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aca…4063backed Under	62c	98$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Under	67c	93$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.78	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Over	21c	90.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.94	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	+8.5wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a12…e633backed Over	43c	87.71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.72	230	41.7%96 W · 134 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	44c	86.97$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.32	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over	27c	85.07$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38c…ee50backed Under	65c	84.94$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.88	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under	75c	83.4$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.44	406	37.7%153 W · 253 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed Under	37c	81.76$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.76	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over	33c	80$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	580	42.4%246 W · 334 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e1d…2b19backed Over	33c	78$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d0…03c1backed Under	35c	77.86$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.86	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	+5.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x82c0…2892backed Under	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over	29c	66$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…abd8backed Under	75c	64.39$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.39	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68f7…77e1backed Over	39c	64.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-2.7wins	-0.33per pick	46cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under	41c	60.46$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.78	187	38.5%72 W · 115 L	-13.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda1d…311bbacked Over	34c	59.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5537…fdaabacked Over	34c	57.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	47	70.2%33 W · 14 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	66cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…36c0backed Under	71c	55.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.97	478	54%258 W · 220 L	-16.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	1,599	46.8%748 W · 851 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	117	52.1%61 W · 56 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Over	33c	45.66$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.91	941	34.5%325 W · 616 L	+33.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Over	57c	45.61$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	692	47%325 W · 367 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab1…dcecbacked Under	33c	44.85$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.85	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc30…197abacked Under	34c	44.12$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.12	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+102.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef67…1e60backed Under	36c	41.29$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.29	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	67c	41.19$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.71	406	41.9%170 W · 236 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94de…e3cabacked Under	64c	41.17$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.82	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed Under	57c	40$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.2	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa15a…91b1backed Under	63c	40$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.9	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	36c	38.84$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.93	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	64c	37.1$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.31	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e8…9a47backed Under	60c	33.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under	60c	30$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12	617	46.5%287 W · 330 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over	37c	27.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x883d…f62cbacked Over	45c	24.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf09…f0e0backed Under	61c	22.42$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.65	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x619e…0149backed Under	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.95	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7765…bf48backed Over	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
First Blood in Game 3?Top Esports won
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Team Secret Whales won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event