Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75392f03d587e264490def563459c61bf541520d34a6f61c9cb26cafd830eb35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 60c | 29,118$17,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,602.25 | 1,097 | 52.3%574 W · 523 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 40c | 25,258$10,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,040.99 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 5,985$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,591.02 | 1,213 | 43.4%527 W · 686 L | -15.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…bab9backed Under | 31c | 5,792$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.45 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…1f66backed Under | 18c | 3,495$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.85 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Under | 60c | 3,309$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.37 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cc…506fbacked Over | 43c | 3,012$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 69c | 2,337$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.76 | 706 | 41.5%293 W · 413 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 35c | 2,314$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.25 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 56c | 1,740$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 4c | 1,720$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Under | 60c | 1,639$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 17c | 1,517$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 59c | 1,274$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.32 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b8febacked Under | 40c | 1,242$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Over | 38c | 1,203$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.78 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 38c | 1,154$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.54 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 42c | 1,011$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.4 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 41c | 871$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.89 | 464 | 50.6%235 W · 229 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Under | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…47afbacked Under | 66c | 655.76$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.36 | 194 | 46.9%91 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 58c | 597.48$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.43 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 48c | 572.11$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.59 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…7ed4backed Over | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa63…2809backed Under | 7c | 546$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 10c | 523.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70b…dcb1backed Under | 58c | 444.69$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.92 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Under | 60c | 404.87$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.92 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under | 63c | 399.96$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 52c | 396.99$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 1,476 | 43.6%643 W · 833 L | -31.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 42c | 382$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 2,237 | 33.3%745 W · 1,492 L | -71.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 77c | 363.68$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Under | 60c | 362.78$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.67 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…0ee4backed Under | 62c | 325$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Under | 57c | 305.57$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.17 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Over | 35c | 304$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 42c | 300$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 967 | 49.8%482 W · 485 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Over | 39c | 296.64$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.15 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…5d9cbacked Over | 42c | 289.96$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5793…f9d5backed Under | 18c | 264.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Under | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 60c | 259.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.24 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Over | 38c | 258.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.57 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 59c | 254.39$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 650 | 43.1%280 W · 370 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd471…7a7fbacked Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…294abacked Over | 59c | 249.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf495…d3b5backed Over | 41c | 245.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 489 | 51.5%252 W · 237 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0d…4513backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over | 42c | 231.4$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Over | 40c | 228.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.08 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Over | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 49c | 182.25$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under | 7c | 178.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 135 | 51.9%70 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,025 | 47.9%491 W · 534 L | +26.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…2845backed Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Over | 40c | 152.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Under | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over | 41c | 148.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Under | 59c | 147.05$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 188 | 41%77 W · 111 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed Over | 40c | 146.75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 16c | 141.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 421 | 37.5%158 W · 263 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…26d7backed Under | 60c | 139.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Under | 60c | 138.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 39c | 135.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 248 | 32.3%80 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…28d2backed Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 60c | 123.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.06 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Under | 60c | 122.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Under | 63c | 122.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.19 | 219 | 53.9%118 W · 101 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 41c | 115.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Under | 60c | 113.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 58c | 110.47$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.53 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…b250backed Over | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…a2f2backed Under | 62c | 102.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 54c | 101.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 494 | 66.8%330 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…e33ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 44c | 89.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 56c | 89.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 665 | 58.8%391 W · 274 L | -37.4wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…f700backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…1d14backed Under | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 372 | 52.2%194 W · 178 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 60c | 81.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 201 | 36.3%73 W · 128 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…6e86backed Over | 41c | 78.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Over | 74c | 77.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Over | 40c | 76.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 50c | 75.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 50c | 70.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?Top Esports won
- First Blood in Game 3?Top Esports won
- Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)Team Secret Whales won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 4 WinnerTeam Secret Whales won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 4?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.