TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under60c29,118$17,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,602.251,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over40c25,258$10,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,040.991,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over40c5,985$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.021,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde67…bab9backed Under31c5,792$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.4514852%77 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…1f66backed Under18c3,495$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.853225%8 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed Under60c3,309$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,985.3719232.8%63 W · 129 L-17.2wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6cc…506fbacked Over43c3,012$1,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.343855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8003661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Over69c2,337$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.7670641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over35c2,314$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.2590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under56c1,740$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.423948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7853…2d49backed Under4c1,720$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.826457.8%37 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb98a…914bbacked Under60c1,639$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.632236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under17c1,517$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.212,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Over59c1,274$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.321,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x581d…b8febacked Under40c1,242$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.7270%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6683…de6bbacked Over38c1,203$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.7811658.6%68 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Over38c1,154$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.5456432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Over42c1,011$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.412341.5%51 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over41c871$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.8946450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Under60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006456.3%36 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a08…47afbacked Under66c655.76$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.3619446.9%91 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under58c597.48$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.4382836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under48c572.11$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.5918139.2%71 W · 110 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eee…7ed4backed Over71c563.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa63…2809backed Under7c546$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick15cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked Under10c523.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4731646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Over39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30548947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under58c444.69$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9216446.3%76 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8d…01debacked Under60c404.87$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.924129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Under63c399.96$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.9864753.9%349 W · 298 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under52c396.99$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.291,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under42c382$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.282,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over77c363.68$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.862,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e8…5289backed Under60c362.78$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6715759.2%93 W · 64 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fe…0ee4backed Under62c325$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Under57c305.57$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.171,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe4…4841backed Over35c304$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.33545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over42c300$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17560943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Over38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18696749.8%482 W · 485 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Over39c296.64$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1515031.3%47 W · 103 L-13.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6922…5d9cbacked Over42c289.96$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5793…f9d5backed Under18c264.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.63441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Under60c260$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563560%21 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under60c259.53$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.241,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Over38c258.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5735149.3%173 W · 178 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Under59c254.39$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0665043.1%280 W · 370 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd471…7a7fbacked Under60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over59c249.95$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.483151.6%16 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-5.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf495…d3b5backed Over41c245.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5e…0381backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.948951.5%252 W · 237 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0d…4513backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Over42c231.4$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.774151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Over40c228.46$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0863751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a8c…1991backed Under59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11833254.2%180 W · 152 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over34c200$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ad…734fbacked Over41c199.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9916047.5%76 W · 84 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over75c192$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.343,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over49c182.25$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.532,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Under7c178.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4813551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041060.5%248 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Under60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,02547.9%491 W · 534 L+26.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe887…2845backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Over40c152.48$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.493135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…aeb7backed Under60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020542.4%87 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Over38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9322748.9%111 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93e5…3b8dbacked Over41c148.78$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.782055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked Under59c147.05$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7618841%77 W · 111 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Over40c146.75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+57.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under16c141.46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3942137.5%158 W · 263 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3938…26d7backed Under60c139.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.842744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Under60c138.67$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.28749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over39c135.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.824832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Over37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.145736.8%21 W · 36 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7532941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7514441.7%60 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under60c123.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.069953.5%53 W · 46 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Under60c122.67$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.626641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Under63c122.14$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1921953.9%118 W · 101 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under41c115.85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8646952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Under60c113.33$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-35.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under58c110.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.538750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb684…b250backed Over37c102.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+70.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Under62c102.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+50.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over54c101.37$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049466.8%330 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6428558.6%167 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa8…e33ebacked Under60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011560.9%70 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffb…4fb5backed Over41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.565349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Under44c89.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.528331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over56c89.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5266558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xceb1…f700backed Under59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0805…1d14backed Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037252.2%194 W · 178 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Under60c81.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9620136.3%73 W · 128 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020739.1%81 W · 126 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…6e86backed Over41c78.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.214165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…6f16backed Over74c77.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.876848.5%33 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over40c76.2$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.439445.2%178 W · 216 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under50c75.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.592,70735.9%972 W · 1,735 L-152.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under50c70.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.121,38431.3%433 W · 951 L-133.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.