TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x467e…6e86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
335
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT16553.3%88 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 165 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+758.4%+$607.18
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$613.21
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.26
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.06
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.2
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$26.7
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.96
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$8.86
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$45.39
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.93
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.31
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$41.22
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.93
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.59
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61%+$452.64
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$26.87
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.75
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 165 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT8854.5%48 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.9
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.28
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.59
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.47
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.39
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.23
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.37
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 206.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$43.43
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+160.8%+$64.33
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4165.9%27 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.32
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$30.41
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+967.8%+$139.94
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$46.21
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.97
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.48
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.97
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.82
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.33
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.31
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.88
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$9.03
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.41
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.07
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.65
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.22
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.04
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$341.9
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$82.89
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.95
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$18.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Khaos Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$15.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$29.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.