UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9daccd6ebb8f1b98f7a23beed81c05f062af981b5fabe0ec8107e7c1483226a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Khaos Williamsof Khaos Williams, Nikolay Veretennikov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,297,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,730,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,297,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 340 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 427,513$221,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205,576.53 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 181,759$87,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,244.37 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 127,887$62,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,358.67 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Khaos Williams | 53c | 122,090$64,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,403.05 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 69,992$32,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,791.92 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 60,000$29,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,400 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 58,200$27,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,936 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 51,080$24,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,518.4 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 45,362$21,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,775.89 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Khaos Williams | 50c | 42,435$21,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,217.43 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 35,000$17,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,150 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 33,333$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,333.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 20,570$9,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,667.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 15,959$7,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,519.88 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 14,762$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.77 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 12,342$5,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,924.16 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 10,200$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 10,156$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.59 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 8,769$4,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,208.9 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 8,500$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 7,076$3,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.06 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 6,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Khaos Williams | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 4,875$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,291.25 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 3,787$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.09 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 3,317$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 2,889$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.43 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…cf23backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 2,619$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 2,526$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.5 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Khaos Williams | 49c | 2,363$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.89 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…f31ebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 2,358$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 50c | 2,328$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…fbbcbacked Khaos Williams | 52c | 2,317$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.86 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Khaos Williams | 50c | 2,193$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.62 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…713ebacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Khaos Williams | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Khaos Williams | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 1,806$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.06 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…8faebacked Khaos Williams | 53c | 1,717$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.09 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Khaos Williams | 68c | 1,700$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.15 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 1,699$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.44 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Khaos Williams | 52c | 1,698$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.02 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 1,660$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 1,581$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.92 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 1,543$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.24 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 1,447$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.4 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 34c | 1,344$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.84 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…427ebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 1,278$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Khaos Williams | 50c | 1,230$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.54 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 1,225$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.95 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 1,194$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.83 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 1,190$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 1,187$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.1 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…2852backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 1,111$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 178 | 51.7%92 W · 86 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 1,025$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.11 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Khaos Williams | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 999.9$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.95 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…53b0backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 973.92$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Khaos Williams | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…56e0backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 957.16$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 946.77$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.45 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 883.14$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 822.73$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee7…6760backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 805.38$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.13 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…56c0backed Khaos Williams | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 51c | 788.37$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 780$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Khaos Williams | 53c | 752.53$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 710.19$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…139cbacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 708$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 48c | 700.01$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 676$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 665.02$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 650.83$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 47c | 639.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 626.64$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 602.04$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Khaos Williams | 51c | 599.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Nikolay Veretennikov | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Khaos Williams | 52c | 576.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Khaos Williams | 51c | 575$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Khaos Williams vs. Nikolay Veretennikov (Welterweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Khaos Williams win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will Nikolay Veretennikov win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.