TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb10e…beed

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: UFC, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$148
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,596Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,595.88
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$735
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)backed Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+139%+$100.61
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+95%+$578.42
Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.98
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.45
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$222.76
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$337.5
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$373.9
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,115.55
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,749Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,749.12
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,383Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$2,701.89
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$926Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$925.78
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$268.38
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,608Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+92.8%+$1,492.01
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+64.1%+$390.49
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$555.51
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$459.6
Orioles vs. Padres: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,256Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+59.2%+$1,336
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.52
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$170.96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.46
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$354.15
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$58
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+69.5%+$134.07
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+733.3%+$1,055.83
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$13.17
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$515.05
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$34
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST-100%-$496.99
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+25%+$100
Magic vs. Mavericksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$101.05
Hawks vs. Pelicansbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+148.7%+$1,086.47
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+150%+$107.5
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$289.8
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.33
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$403.02
Roland Garros ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$325
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$304
Roland Garros ATP: Cameron Norrie vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$286
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublevbacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.84
Roland Garros ATP: Rinky Hijikata vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$315
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Sheltonbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$211.25
Hamburg European Open: Justin Engel vs Ugo Humbertbacked Justin Engel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.14
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$760
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-39.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+146.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$651Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$650.59
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa beat Club Brugge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2024, EST+85.2%+$433.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$9.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fluminense FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$171.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$386.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$338.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife - Map 2 Winnerbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-09-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,483Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,483.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.