TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Mets, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$760,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,015,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,157 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Tigers49c204,103$100,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,092.5917652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets51c67,309$34,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,327.6135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers48c51,417$24,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,592.8238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets51c31,662$16,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,147.8638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets51c31,000$15,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,81055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Tigers66c27,803$18,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,507.4211345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mets47c22,778$10,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,686.391,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Mets52c16,830$8,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,751.616347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Mets52c13,462$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mets51c11,900$6,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,06945248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Mets52c11,826$6,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,123.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers50c11,660$5,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,853.5434550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mets40c11,255$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.0878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Mets52c10,300$5,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,35638949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Mets52c10,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,199.9814648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Mets51c9,970$5,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,084.947450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers48c8,931$4,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.226949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets50c8,396$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.031,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets34c8,087$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,729.682,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Mets51c7,717$3,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,935.77659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers50c7,002$3,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.7533554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets41c5,465$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Tigers49c4,400$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2442751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe49a…ff17backed Mets53c3,789$2,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,006757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets51c3,765$1,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,912.6343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ca…faa7backed Mets54c3,572$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,925.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Mets51c3,408$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.0826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mets25c3,037$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.5212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets51c2,704$1,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.2385047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b2…9f35backed Mets28c2,438$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.211643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Mets52c2,278$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.3911947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Mets51c2,211$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.628258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers49c2,037$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.7330842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…048ebacked Mets51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0107247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets43c1,640$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.221,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers49c1,638$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.4839041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mets51c1,630$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.291,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mets51c1,428$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.371,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Mets52c1,392$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7246953.6%37 W · 32 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ccf…c116backed Mets52c1,293$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.269645.8%44 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Mets51c1,287$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.2339056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Mets46c1,220$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.513046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…9e57backed Tigers48c1,219$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Tigers52c1,155$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.8913149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Mets52c1,152$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Mets52c1,148$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mets51c1,131$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.8123455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1362…89e4backed Tigers48c1,081$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.12683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+84%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Tigers49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.428042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mets47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Mets2c933.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Mets46c899.97$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.7540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc445…d246backed Tigers58c875.29$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Tigers48c833.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.3365248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers47c799.98$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Mets52c796.15$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4143756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b63…d2cfbacked Mets45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers46c616$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.641,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Mets53c613.37$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.919842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets52c604.67$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.432,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mets52c575.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.511,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers47c561.85$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.7851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Mets48c529.99$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.44226.2%11 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets20c515$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5347745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets50c500.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.371,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2553,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets37c453.25$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Tigers49c453.06$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0616654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Tigers48c450$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23427733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mets3c417.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.335852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5184…df62backed Mets52c408.21$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.271855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36e3…5e25backed Mets52c408.21$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.272263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1010…4768backed Tigers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…9a96backed Tigers49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Mets53c403.77$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-55.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20824253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0e…9012backed Mets53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Tigers50c397.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.3728447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mets51c391.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.911,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Mets52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003959%23 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Tigers49c357.14$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.145742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Tigers47c349.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.51,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mets41c348.42$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.846,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80f8…6713backed Tigers59c340.72$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.724261.9%26 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f8…3a79backed Mets40c310.49$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.431735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers49c307.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1437857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Mets46c289.59$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.2115151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets51c286.43$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mets45c279.49$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.778,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Mets51c278.06$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.819947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers47c275.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.111,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Mets50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f9…3a36backed Mets35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x409b…d3dabacked Tigers48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1302343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Mets25c241.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.226538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers59c227.16$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3b6…97b7backed Mets46c219.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004856.3%27 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.