MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0c51bb1fe20ad0b9cb2a7af03f41bcca073ca2e6eeb914b5ffc8b24e0ff4067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Mets, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $760,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,015,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $760,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Tigers | 49c | 204,103$100,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,092.59 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 51c | 67,309$34,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,327.61 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 48c | 51,417$24,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,592.82 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mets | 51c | 31,662$16,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,147.86 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mets | 51c | 31,000$15,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,810 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Tigers | 66c | 27,803$18,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,507.42 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 47c | 22,778$10,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,686.39 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mets | 52c | 16,830$8,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,751.6 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mets | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 51c | 11,900$6,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Mets | 52c | 11,826$6,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,123.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Tigers | 50c | 11,660$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,853.54 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 40c | 11,255$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.08 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Mets | 52c | 10,300$5,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,356 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Mets | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Mets | 51c | 9,970$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.94 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers | 48c | 8,931$4,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,644.2 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 50c | 8,396$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.03 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 34c | 8,087$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.68 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Mets | 51c | 7,717$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.7 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers | 50c | 7,002$3,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.75 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 41c | 5,465$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…6ea5backed Tigers | 49c | 4,400$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Mets | 53c | 3,789$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets | 51c | 3,765$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.63 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ca…faa7backed Mets | 54c | 3,572$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mets | 51c | 3,408$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.08 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 25c | 3,037$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.52 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 51c | 2,704$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.23 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Mets | 28c | 2,438$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Mets | 52c | 2,278$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.39 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Mets | 51c | 2,211$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.6 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers | 49c | 2,037$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.73 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Mets | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 43c | 1,640$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.22 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers | 49c | 1,638$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.48 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mets | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.29 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 51c | 1,428$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.37 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Mets | 52c | 1,392$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Mets | 52c | 1,293$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.26 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Mets | 51c | 1,287$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.23 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Mets | 46c | 1,220$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…9e57backed Tigers | 48c | 1,219$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Tigers | 52c | 1,155$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.89 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff4…5a2dbacked Mets | 52c | 1,152$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d7…6f3ebacked Mets | 52c | 1,148$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mets | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…89e4backed Tigers | 48c | 1,081$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 44cpaid | +84%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Tigers | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.4 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Mets | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Mets | 2c | 933.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mets | 46c | 899.97$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…d246backed Tigers | 58c | 875.29$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Tigers | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 47c | 799.98$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Mets | 52c | 796.15$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b63…d2cfbacked Mets | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tigers | 46c | 616$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.64 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Mets | 53c | 613.37$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.91 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 52c | 604.67$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 52c | 575.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers | 47c | 561.85$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.78 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…9d5cbacked Mets | 48c | 529.99$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mets | 20c | 515$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 50c | 500.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets | 37c | 453.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Tigers | 49c | 453.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Tigers | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mets | 3c | 417.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Mets | 52c | 408.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Mets | 52c | 408.21$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.27 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…4768backed Tigers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…9a96backed Tigers | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Mets | 53c | 403.77$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Mets | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…9012backed Mets | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 50c | 397.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mets | 51c | 391.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Mets | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Tigers | 49c | 357.14$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 41c | 348.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Tigers | 59c | 340.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.72 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…3a79backed Mets | 40c | 310.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Tigers | 49c | 307.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Mets | 46c | 289.59$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.21 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mets | 51c | 286.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 45c | 279.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Mets | 51c | 278.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers | 47c | 275.65$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.11 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Mets | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…3a36backed Mets | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…d3dabacked Tigers | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Mets | 25c | 241.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.22 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Tigers | 59c | 227.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.81 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b6…97b7backed Mets | 46c | 219.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Tigersthis page
- Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.