Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bc50353318ac91fc1f70280c64dab95612a210a93f1ae85e0d3ecba6a28092f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Natus Vincere, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $855,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $960,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $855,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 64,685$31,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,100 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Natus Vincere | 55c | 36,046$19,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,710.77 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 33,510$14,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,838.03 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 30,882$10,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,850 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 56c | 29,750$16,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,182.85 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 26,308$13,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,491.03 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 25,174$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,324.73 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 52c | 24,255$12,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,670.82 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 55c | 20,258$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,022.59 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 35c | 12,987$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,441.55 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 11,775$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.41 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 11,750$5,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,287.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Aurora | 54c | 11,379$6,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,234.14 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed Aurora | 50c | 10,947$5,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.93 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 52c | 10,410$5,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.64 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Aurora | 40c | 10,179$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,107.05 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…5aa4backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 47c | 9,512$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.88 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 43c | 9,272$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,272.17 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 55c | 8,791$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.9 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 48c | 8,665$4,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 8,518$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 8,324$5,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,736.31 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 8,133$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,878.01 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…f51cbacked Aurora | 61c | 8,079$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.77 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 62c | 7,409$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.45 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 49c | 7,350$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.81 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 59c | 7,241$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,973.52 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…0d51backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 7,000$4,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,329.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 49c | 6,622$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.32 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 72c | 6,465$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.9 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 57c | 6,239$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.39 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Aurora | 52c | 6,069$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Aurora | 51c | 6,000$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,660$3,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 51c | 5,643$2,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.81 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 59c | 5,573$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.8 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…39cfbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,268$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 5,054$1,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.77 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.98 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora | 58c | 4,923$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,074.74 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…a621backed Aurora | 67c | 4,845$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 66c | 4,738$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.49 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 49c | 4,534$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.73 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,450$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 66c | 4,246$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.66 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 4,119$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.84 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Aurora | 53c | 3,731$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.66 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,688$1,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.93 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 3,673$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.97 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora | 54c | 3,645$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.38 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 53c | 3,566$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.79 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 62c | 3,534$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.05 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,513$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Aurora | 55c | 3,336$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.3 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 3,251$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 55c | 3,085$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,012$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.65 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Aurora | 51c | 3,008$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.99 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,953$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,950$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Aurora | 63c | 2,891$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.86 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,783$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.51 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,752$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.33 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,678$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,627$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.41 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 57c | 2,514$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.74 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…ab62backed Aurora | 69c | 2,462$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 2,451$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Aurora | 55c | 2,367$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.47 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 74c | 2,309$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.83 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,275$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.04 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora | 55c | 2,141$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.42 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,096$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 47c | 2,053$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Natus Vincere | 73c | 2,009$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.5 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,005$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,002$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.99 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora | 44c | 1,917$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.1 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,871$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.93 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 51c | 1,847$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.78 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,835$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.9 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,803$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed Aurora | 57c | 1,740$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.55 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 60c | 1,731$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.39 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Aurora | 62c | 1,698$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.03 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,692$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.32 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 53c | 1,685$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.52 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…7ab6backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,676$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 48c | 1,655$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.42 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Aurora | 52c | 1,640$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.97 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,565$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Natus Vincere | 52c | 1,545$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.73 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde85…6b38backed Aurora | 67c | 1,535$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.