TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52a6…ab62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
222
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT13831.2%43 W · 95 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 138 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+90.8%+$454.25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$782.05
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$862.53
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+342.2%+$869.07
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.06
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,572.06
Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$2,135.71
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,219.35
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,196.08
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,162.96
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$2,100
Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+2.5)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.7
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,060Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$2,057.26
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$36.67
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,605.31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+646.2%+$1,589.64
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.2
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Showing 25 of 138 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$256.75
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+300%+$810
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$512
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,731
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$929Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$2,388.86
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,012
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$904
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.8
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+186.2%+$1,192.51
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,658.54
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$970Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$456.64
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,088.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,121.26
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,442.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$633
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,163.2
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,734Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+292.8%+$5,076.71
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$634Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+142.8%+$906.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,183.8
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,070
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Valorant: Team Vitality vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$271.57
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.23
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$612.44
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$712Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+74.4%+$529.52
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,202.3
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Playoffsbacked Rex Regum Qeon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,073
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,972Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$2,315.31
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Playoffsbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$735.3
Valorant: All Gamers vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,445
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,715Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,368.33
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked Otakar Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$302
Valorant: Team Liquid Academy vs Formulation Gaming (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffsbacked Formulation Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.06
Valorant: DNSTY vs Ramboot Club (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 2 Playoffsbacked Ramboot Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+489.6%+$976.9
All 17 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,838Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,838
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,200
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$736.92
Dota 2: OG vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,031.15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+144.4%+$1,955.19
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+159%+$1,173.69
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,132
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$560
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$916
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,878Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,878
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.8%+$761.53
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,520Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$489.53
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,313Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,313
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$731Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$731
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,876Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,876.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Metsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$955.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.