TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
B8of B8, BC.Game Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,986
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$201,495

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,986 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked B853c44,804$23,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,217.9942440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked BC.Game Esports48c21,298$10,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,223.0421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed BC.Game Esports29c17,000$4,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,919.2350054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B869c7,359$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.997,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked BC.Game Esports48c6,042$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9008748.3%42 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x009b…26dabacked BC.Game Esports27c6,005$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.310532.4%34 W · 71 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed BC.Game Esports47c6,000$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,82042651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked B876c5,376$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.942,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f03…ede2backed BC.Game Esports59c5,097$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick57cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B875c4,874$3,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.933,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked BC.Game Esports21c4,000$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.9961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed BC.Game Esports42c3,762$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.5521945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed BC.Game Esports12c3,500$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41041716.5%69 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked BC.Game Esports8c2,535$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7143237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BC.Game Esports46c2,513$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.7763541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa066…d240backed BC.Game Esports2c2,500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404219%8 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+232.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed B854c2,496$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14228248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed BC.Game Esports48c2,229$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0704427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed BC.Game Esports7c2,135$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.191,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed BC.Game Esports46c2,079$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.3348240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked BC.Game Esports47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9409343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed BC.Game Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked BC.Game Esports5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked BC.Game Esports16c1,904$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.451,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed B857c1,759$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.341,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked BC.Game Esports46c1,706$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.7619540%78 W · 117 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe2b…20e4backed BC.Game Esports12c1,600$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939635.4%34 W · 62 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked BC.Game Esports46c1,584$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.7540950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed BC.Game Esports1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked BC.Game Esports2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked B858c1,384$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.171,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BC.Game Esports46c1,263$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.082,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed B872c1,250$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed BC.Game Esports9c1,171$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked B866c1,100$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.4828657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B868c1,092$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.675,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked BC.Game Esports43c1,064$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.6736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked BC.Game Esports21c1,035$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21446042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed BC.Game Esports45c1,010$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.941154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x681b…3d79backed B870c1,009$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.724546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed B857c1,000$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.59442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed BC.Game Esports46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed B860c904.27$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.924,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked BC.Game Esports47c875.74$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.753545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked BC.Game Esports47c865.33$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40932542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked BC.Game Esports58c777.33$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.5241040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked BC.Game Esports3c750$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.521522.3%48 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked B868c733.06$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.742,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed BC.Game Esports34c730.48$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.366333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BC.Game Esports46c691.74$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.5461034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed B854c689.89$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.3534156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed B853c688.6$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4317…770bbacked BC.Game Esports45c660.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed B860c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24032346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0cc…c8ddbacked BC.Game Esports3c550$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169216.3%15 W · 77 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BC.Game Esports9c535$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B873c533.86$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.916,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked B870c513.13$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.52,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed B865c511.55$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4338650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked BC.Game Esports2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed B853c499.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9928738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed B842c499.98$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.9950846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed BC.Game Esports30c479.99$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed B851c463.5$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.112,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed B870c424.74$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4231241.3%129 W · 183 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed B874c405.46$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0613655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed BC.Game Esports28c399.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked BC.Game Esports45c388.57$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0655843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed BC.Game Esports53c373.02$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19653850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed BC.Game Esports45c328.09$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6432042.5%136 W · 184 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked BC.Game Esports48c316.85$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0960953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed BC.Game Esports32c309.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…42dfbacked B853c301.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.75042%21 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed BC.Game Esports55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16524942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24eb…75eebacked BC.Game Esports46c288.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.8318043.3%78 W · 102 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked BC.Game Esports34c283.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2419935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x16f0…aba5backed BC.Game Esports55c278.16$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0618261%111 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked BC.Game Esports46c271.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed B871c269.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6713550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed B835c264$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.661837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…9968backed B859c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed BC.Game Esports11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.532136.8%118 W · 203 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked B862c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9511753.8%63 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked B880c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5015044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BC.Game Esports23c248.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.951,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fd…2aabbacked BC.Game Esports5c247.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211232.1%36 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked BC.Game Esports7c238.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5999…bdbebacked B853c237.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.546163.9%39 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed B871c230.19$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3312848.4%62 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked B870c214.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7344…98f6backed BC.Game Esports7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked BC.Game Esports47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.784037.9%318 W · 522 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed BC.Game Esports48c208.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015045.3%68 W · 82 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed BC.Game Esports49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c75…8a96backed BC.Game Esports11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed BC.Game Esports47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9421060%126 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked B862c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7638157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed BC.Game Esports5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5b…e39ebacked BC.Game Esports36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed BC.Game Esports45c194.37$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7919142.4%81 W · 110 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.