CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x118f7a9f33637d7fece1d6c5d78c11babb2b89227dccd8816baad9bb437b64b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 5c | 1,199$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 48c | 999.96$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 474.96$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.98 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Under | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 28c | 414.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Under | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 51c | 320.67$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 304.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Over | 48c | 299.95$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 277.32$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 32c | 246.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…8b45backed Over | 49c | 201.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 52c | 165$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Over | 48c | 106.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Over | 34c | 73.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Under | 66c | 71.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 22c | 68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 23c | 58.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6f…959abacked Over | 54c | 55.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Under | 66c | 50.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 38c | 50.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 57c | 43.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7fb5backed Over | 48c | 41.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb391…49e7backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Under | 64c | 39.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b75…035fbacked Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 66c | 33.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 52c | 25.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…f9bcbacked Under | 67c | 23.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Under | 75c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 22.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf5…e7c3backed Under | 69c | 19.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.