CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b4821c89bcaaebc611009f4e1be6a42153f983d34d92b5bdeea641a9937a3b3

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NIPof Luminosity, NIP
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $527,523
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $573,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,523 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Luminosity	1c	307,757$3,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,368.36	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed NIP	35c	12,386$4,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,006.12	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Luminosity	64c	12,031$7,754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,754.49	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Luminosity	64c	8,378$5,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,319.99	376	46.3%174 W · 202 L	-17.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Luminosity	51c	7,401$3,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,809.71	519	42.2%219 W · 300 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Luminosity	54c	5,384$2,918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,917.7	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP	37c	5,327$1,996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,331.39	401	37.2%149 W · 252 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Luminosity	45c	4,806$2,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,145.3	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed NIP	36c	4,250$1,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.5	210	55.7%117 W · 93 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Luminosity	53c	4,019$2,118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.48	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Luminosity	53c	2,982$1,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,589.59	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed NIP	40c	2,418$973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,444.94	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked NIP	37c	2,373$869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.53	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Luminosity	49c	2,311$1,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NIP	51c	2,263$1,154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,108.83	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP	37c	2,261$828 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,432.86	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Luminosity	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed NIP	34c	2,000$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,319.98	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Luminosity	38c	1,843$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.36	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed NIP	44c	1,595$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.58	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-15.4wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed NIP	45c	1,418$637 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$780.71	456	46.9%214 W · 242 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Luminosity	56c	1,393$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.27	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x82ff…64fbbacked Luminosity	64c	1,154$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$739.64	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked Luminosity	65c	1,132$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.88	116	56.9%66 W · 50 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Luminosity	62c	1,129$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	752	45.5%342 W · 410 L	-21.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Luminosity	65c	1,127$733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732.67	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed NIP	25c	1,080$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$810	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-4.4wins	-0.10per pick	37cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Luminosity	56c	1,069$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.1	364	53.8%196 W · 168 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Luminosity	55c	1,041$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.7	1,496	51.5%771 W · 725 L	-7.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Luminosity	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	222	41.4%92 W · 130 L	-5.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea3…fe61backed Luminosity	54c	999.98$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.99	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked NIP	37c	999.98$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$629.99	291	54%157 W · 134 L	+17.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Luminosity	61c	964.18$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.59	673	72.2%486 W · 187 L	+119.1wins	+0.18per pick	55cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed NIP	44c	874.6$381 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.88	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Luminosity	51c	864$441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$441	534	44.9%240 W · 294 L	+11.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Luminosity	75c	795.96$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	461	65.5%302 W · 159 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Luminosity	59c	757.78$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.5	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked NIP	17c	749.98$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.78	85	42.4%36 W · 49 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Luminosity	52c	744.82$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.37	242	33.9%82 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Luminosity	47c	726.26$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.14	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NIP	42c	718.71$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$417.08	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed NIP	36c	708.33$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$453.33	266	24.4%65 W · 201 L	-26.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed NIP	45c	705.96$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.76	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP	42c	696$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$401.07	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Luminosity	56c	687.87$387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.6	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NIP	43c	636.48$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.6	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd794…a787backed NIP	46c	621.99$289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$333.32	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NIP	43c	600.27$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.53	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Luminosity	56c	594.55$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.19	1,365	66.3%905 W · 460 L	+76.1wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Luminosity	64c	592.75$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.36	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked NIP	43c	588.6$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.1	409	50.6%207 W · 202 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24c…3f33backed NIP	35c	571.4$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.41	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Luminosity	54c	552.64$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.66	316	47.5%150 W · 166 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f56…d7dbbacked NIP	45c	550$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.5	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP	19c	543.67$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$437.99	573	22.3%128 W · 445 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked NIP	31c	537.35$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.35	82	39%32 W · 50 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed NIP	36c	529.98$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.81	1,038	39.9%414 W · 624 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Luminosity	63c	522.7$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	1,623	44.9%728 W · 895 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked Luminosity	57c	521.96$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Luminosity	60c	513.85$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.09	163	49.7%81 W · 82 L	-19.7wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed NIP	46c	513.04$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.04	215	45.6%98 W · 117 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Luminosity	64c	511.18$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.06	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Luminosity	60c	500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	354	60.7%215 W · 139 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed NIP	46c	500$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	482	40%193 W · 289 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed NIP	45c	500$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked NIP	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	85	45.9%39 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Luminosity	65c	487.63$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.96	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NIP	42c	468.87$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$272	2,136	42.9%916 W · 1,220 L	-68.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ee…8f9ebacked NIP	43c	457.33$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.68	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20c…f4c7backed NIP	40c	453.02$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.02	99	60.6%60 W · 39 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed NIP	38c	450$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked NIP	43c	444.06$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.06	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked NIP	46c	435.87$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	194	43.3%84 W · 110 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed NIP	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP	44c	429.81$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.52	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP	39c	429.4$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.75	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Luminosity	75c	420$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	280	42.5%119 W · 161 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Luminosity	51c	414.31$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.04	420	50%210 W · 210 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Luminosity	41c	403.91$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.01	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Luminosity	48c	399.99$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.89	71	40.8%29 W · 42 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f16…284ebacked Luminosity	51c	393.18$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	58	82.8%48 W · 10 L	+10.2wins	+0.18per pick	65cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Luminosity	54c	391.18$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.9	521	50.3%262 W · 259 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed NIP	36c	385$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.55	119	60.5%72 W · 47 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Luminosity	39c	382.85$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	203	44.3%90 W · 113 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked NIP	71c	380.06$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.06	354	49.7%176 W · 178 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa245…2152backed NIP	35c	368.69$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.65	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Luminosity	44c	355.93$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.65	835	43.6%364 W · 471 L	-9.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked NIP	37c	351.35$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.35	184	44%81 W · 103 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Luminosity	55c	338.7$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.71	600	32.3%194 W · 406 L	-49.7wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Luminosity	54c	337$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.98	374	40.4%151 W · 223 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdde5…d1acbacked Luminosity	62c	318.27$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.33	70	45.7%32 W · 38 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed Luminosity	75c	314.9$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.36	147	49.7%73 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Luminosity	40c	298.35$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.26	1,083	42.1%456 W · 627 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed NIP	37c	288.57$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.8	130	43.8%57 W · 73 L	+9.7wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb703…1a39backed NIP	37c	280.88$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.48	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+20%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP	38c	238.96$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.38	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked Luminosity	61c	229.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+6.9wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Luminosity	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Luminosity	64c	224.89$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.23	412	50.2%207 W · 205 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NIP	43c	215.79$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.71	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageNIP won
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLuminosity won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)NIP won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Luminosity won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event