CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9b3f4d7d2e3f7d704eac6996d63437fb337a600f8fb1087e38ae215a3981d36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 60c | 2,568$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.78 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 60c | 2,524$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.94 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 23c | 919.72$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.18 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 44c | 848.05$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.72 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Over | 47c | 824.6$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 478.54$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 35c | 443$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 48c | 406.63$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.12 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 354.08$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.04 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 308$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 42c | 274$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 264.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.24 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 51c | 221$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.38 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 55c | 195.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 61c | 139$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 64c | 121$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.37 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 45c | 109.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.54 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 41c | 107$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 40c | 91$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 41c | 69.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Over | 37c | 65.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 53c | 56.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Over | 50c | 46.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 47c | 45.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 42.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 64c | 40.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…3186backed Over | 42c | 35.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 48c | 32.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 39c | 31.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 55c | 27.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Over | 56c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 40c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Over | 44c | 25.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Under | 43c | 23.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Under | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 19.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…8cafbacked Under | 63c | 16.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageNIP won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLuminosity won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Luminosity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.