CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ddf89bc2a61dd73164c0640baaed321dce1bd4182432597199718a9a8ebb814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Luminosity, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $620,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $693,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $620,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40e…9770backed NIP | 50c | 42,412$21,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,256.45 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Luminosity | 55c | 35,000$19,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,262.37 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Luminosity | 50c | 14,932$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP | 50c | 14,527$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,257.98 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Luminosity | 48c | 14,427$6,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,913.16 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Luminosity | 32c | 13,599$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.52 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed NIP | 49c | 12,322$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.42 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed NIP | 69c | 12,210$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800.49 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Luminosity | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,240.2 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Luminosity | 50c | 10,455$5,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.68 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed NIP | 53c | 10,009$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.19 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Luminosity | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked NIP | 50c | 8,385$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.67 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Luminosity | 67c | 7,950$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,303.49 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked NIP | 51c | 7,698$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,772.02 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed NIP | 53c | 7,483$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.32 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…68d8backed NIP | 35c | 6,928$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.39 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed NIP | 48c | 6,193$2,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Luminosity | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed NIP | 47c | 5,995$2,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.49 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Luminosity | 53c | 5,582$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.4 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Luminosity | 37c | 5,498$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.5 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked NIP | 20c | 5,251$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.43 | 215 | 22.3%48 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed NIP | 49c | 5,049$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.98 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Luminosity | 66c | 4,718$3,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,137.29 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Luminosity | 20c | 4,453$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.75 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Luminosity | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Luminosity | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Luminosity | 47c | 3,988$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.76 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked NIP | 30c | 3,967$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.87 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Luminosity | 39c | 3,885$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Luminosity | 40c | 3,853$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.94 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP | 20c | 3,845$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.7 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked NIP | 50c | 3,769$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.26 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 50c | 3,702$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.15 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked NIP | 54c | 3,668$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.61 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed NIP | 49c | 3,457$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.63 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked NIP | 46c | 3,324$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.88 | 236 | 46.2%109 W · 127 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…91f7backed Luminosity | 3c | 3,128$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.69 | 165 | 38.8%64 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed NIP | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed NIP | 50c | 3,120$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.94 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…b983backed NIP | 47c | 3,032$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Luminosity | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed NIP | 48c | 2,971$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Luminosity | 50c | 2,936$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.92 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed NIP | 49c | 2,670$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 28c | 2,440$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.63 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed NIP | 50c | 2,428$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.21 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NIP | 28c | 2,416$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.83 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Luminosity | 48c | 2,200$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Luminosity | 42c | 2,195$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.78 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Luminosity | 51c | 2,088$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.1 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Luminosity | 35c | 2,052$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.04 | 664 | 46.4%308 W · 356 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Luminosity | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Luminosity | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…fe61backed NIP | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Luminosity | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked NIP | 49c | 1,970$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.81 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Luminosity | 78c | 1,810$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.84 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Luminosity | 52c | 1,661$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.09 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked NIP | 19c | 1,652$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.75 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Luminosity | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Luminosity | 47c | 1,550$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Luminosity | 8c | 1,534$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b8febacked NIP | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Luminosity | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Luminosity | 40c | 1,500$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.49 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Luminosity | 51c | 1,428$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.93 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 61c | 1,423$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked NIP | 49c | 1,380$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.76 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed NIP | 57c | 1,236$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.67 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6001backed Luminosity | 54c | 1,224$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.67 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Luminosity | 50c | 1,212$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed NIP | 49c | 1,153$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.03 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Luminosity | 50c | 1,136$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.38 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Luminosity | 2c | 1,106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked NIP | 36c | 1,102$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.38 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed NIP | 51c | 1,060$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.46 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed NIP | 53c | 1,028$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.39 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Luminosity | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 51.5%117 W · 110 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…2754backed Luminosity | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed NIP | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked NIP | 38c | 997.72$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.37 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked NIP | 45c | 921.23$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.33 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed NIP | 40c | 917.86$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.86 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Luminosity | 33c | 879.98$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Luminosity | 51c | 877$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.27 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed NIP | 31c | 871$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.85 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed NIP | 47c | 869.95$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.97 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe159…d987backed Luminosity | 55c | 867.4$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Luminosity | 2c | 865.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed NIP | 40c | 840.36$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.39 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Luminosity | 50c | 840$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed NIP | 14c | 833.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.33 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed NIP | 50c | 831.15$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.15 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Luminosity | 19c | 808.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.72 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Luminosity | 36c | 802.03$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked NIP | 50c | 800.13$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked NIP | 49c | 800.13$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.06 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Luminosity | 77c | 770$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.9 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLuminosity won
- Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)NIP won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Luminosity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.