CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x586e8943f060f271b82562904409ddf797f7bd52106a0204654275b009d941a6

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Luminosityof Luminosity, NIP
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $142,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $157,808

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x87da…53d1backed NIP	45c	7,475$3,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,344.64	385	46.2%178 W · 207 L	-16.4wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed44…4f76backed Luminosity	57c	7,280$4,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,155.65	522	42.5%222 W · 300 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Luminosity	43c	7,136$3,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,090.39	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NIP	50c	6,544$3,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,302.88	5,341	31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L	-390.7wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NIP	51c	6,100$3,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,103.76	2,664	30.8%820 W · 1,844 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe159…d987backed Luminosity	52c	4,000$2,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,922	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+49.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Luminosity	32c	3,473$1,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,345.7	2,223	47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L	-5.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked NIP	69c	2,981$2,054 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,053.57	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Luminosity	34c	2,791$944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.71	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NIP	59c	2,581$1,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,535.25	6,501	42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L	-79.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed NIP	72c	2,579$1,857 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,856.82	164	49.4%81 W · 83 L	-20.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked NIP	76c	2,550$1,933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,933.32	238	46.2%110 W · 128 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Luminosity	51c	2,100$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,023.13	755	45.6%344 W · 411 L	-21.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd487…053ebacked NIP	72c	2,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	45	57.8%26 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed NIP	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	574	0%0 W · 574 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Luminosity	30c	1,812$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,261.56	618	34.6%214 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Luminosity	29c	1,684$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.34	3,236	51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L	+88.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Luminosity	29c	1,643$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,168.21	535	45%241 W · 294 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Luminosity	45c	1,500$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$824.99	148	47.3%70 W · 78 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NIP	50c	1,360$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.22	4,754	43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L	-85.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Luminosity	53c	1,297$687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.73	1,890	41.9%791 W · 1,099 L	-71.8wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Luminosity	46c	1,256$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680.43	562	39.5%222 W · 340 L	-21.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed NIP	70c	1,100$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770	323	46.1%149 W · 174 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed NIP	44c	1,059$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.26	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked NIP	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	704	23.9%168 W · 536 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Luminosity	43c	834.65$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$474.82	2,554	41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L	-116.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Luminosity	44c	795.01$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.58	1,008	69.3%699 W · 309 L	+152.8wins	+0.15per pick	54cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Luminosity	26c	770.95$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.99	5,876	37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L	+71.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ff…64fbbacked Luminosity	31c	748.45$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.43	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP	70c	675.6$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.92	5,580	47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L	+47.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked NIP	38c	657.22$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.77	420	37.9%159 W · 261 L	-17.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Luminosity	59c	630.09$375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.44	2,397	42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L	-73.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Luminosity	36c	628.04$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.21	4,238	49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L	+60.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Luminosity	51c	597.57$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$291.58	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Luminosity	60c	593.83$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.64	2,195	43.1%946 W · 1,249 L	-68.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Luminosity	41c	593.48$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.65	681	72.2%492 W · 189 L	+120.9wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed NIP	51c	583.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Luminosity	52c	571.99$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.56	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NIP	57c	558.59$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.16	5,034	37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L	-260.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Luminosity	27c	536.63$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.53	2,605	52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L	+97.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked NIP	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	218	22%48 W · 170 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked NIP	48c	416.67$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed NIP	69c	400.8$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.55	320	47.2%151 W · 169 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed NIP	55c	396.36$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	298	51.3%153 W · 145 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x307a…d612backed Luminosity	76c	393.07$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.07	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked NIP	55c	366$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	244	38.9%95 W · 149 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Luminosity	54c	365.58$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.33	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d4…7303backed NIP	55c	354.98$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked NIP	59c	340.68$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NIP	41c	334.1$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.22	3,544	29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L	-289.1wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf93a…8a46backed Luminosity	51c	323.59$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.66	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Luminosity	24c	323.17$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.25	2,645	51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L	+21.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f17…6001backed Luminosity	31c	322.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.58	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Luminosity	32c	312$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.08	183	36.6%67 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Luminosity	47c	310.76$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.35	539	45.5%245 W · 294 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Luminosity	41c	308.03$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.52	4,099	51%2,091 W · 2,008 L	+74.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Luminosity	75c	291.33$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.02	174	49.4%86 W · 88 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Luminosity	50c	291$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.38	2,393	46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Luminosity	46c	285$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.75	616	38.1%235 W · 381 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ae…84d8backed Luminosity	44c	255$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.36	132	19.7%26 W · 106 L	-10.3wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NIP	70c	230$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	3,267	45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L	-85.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af3…8598backed NIP	79c	227.68$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179	147	49.7%73 W · 74 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Luminosity	34c	225$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.69	1,305	26.4%345 W · 960 L	-89.7wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfeb…763ebacked Luminosity	51c	194.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.71	137	42.3%58 W · 79 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked NIP	55c	185.33$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.93	117	53.8%63 W · 54 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5668…eababacked NIP	59c	185.24$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1f…f2f8backed NIP	62c	181.99$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.77	81	63%51 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP	46c	180.15$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.37	2,092	41.6%871 W · 1,221 L	-50.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Luminosity	49c	173.26$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.61	7,990	50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L	+180.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Luminosity	35c	173.25$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.97	664	36.6%243 W · 421 L	-35.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed03…1caabacked Luminosity	47c	168$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.58	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x381a…d712backed Luminosity	59c	164.83$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.83	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Luminosity	74c	161.27$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.69	2,365	45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L	-58.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9679…9315backed NIP	56c	150.13$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.03	80	53.8%43 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Luminosity	46c	143$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.6	2,672	47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L	-31.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8037…04fabacked NIP	53c	142.26$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.19	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Luminosity	31c	131.95$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.6	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf54b…91f7backed Luminosity	16c	128.24$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.24	165	38.8%64 W · 101 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NIP	37c	125.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.73	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Luminosity	64c	123$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.08	1,632	43.2%705 W · 927 L	-32.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Luminosity	49c	122.49$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.49	277	48.7%135 W · 142 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed Luminosity	17c	116.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.67	297	31%92 W · 205 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…0968backed Luminosity	42c	116.53$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.63	57	22.8%13 W · 44 L	-6.3wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Luminosity	29c	106.49$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.19	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Luminosity	49c	105.67$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.31	137	51.8%71 W · 66 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…d7bebacked Luminosity	45c	102.22$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.22	56	39.3%22 W · 34 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed NIP	49c	100.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.82	590	44.9%265 W · 325 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc566…f8d7backed NIP	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked NIP	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	419	50.1%210 W · 209 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked NIP	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	206	37.9%78 W · 128 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed NIP	51c	99.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.99	93	40.9%38 W · 55 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Luminosity	51c	97.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.54	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed NIP	31c	96.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.35	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-11.4wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NIP	49c	85.51$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	2,530	34.6%876 W · 1,654 L	-193.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP	45c	83.43$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	3,949	36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L	-201.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79b5…df9bbacked Luminosity	43c	83.25$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.45	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Luminosity	47c	80.03$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.29	1,087	31.9%347 W · 740 L	-7.0wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed NIP	64c	78.01$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	226	54.9%124 W · 102 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2654…668dbacked Luminosity	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06ac…8e65backed NIP	60c	75$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.65	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageNIP won
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: NIP (-3.5) vs Luminosity (+3.5)NIP won
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Map Handicap: LG (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Luminosity (+1.5)Luminosity won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs NIP - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event