TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91c4…9dea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 63 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)backed Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$27.5
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.36
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)backed Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.65
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$36.29
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.92
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$36.65
Counter-Strike: TDK vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerbacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53%+$38.82
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$12.35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.99
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)backed ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$8.46
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$6.96
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+93%+$41.83
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+103.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+59%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$123.84
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56%+$50.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$162.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.