CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x475a4e171172bf15a81448464ad114bee149fb675ee05aafeaecca904d0b6c51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Gentle Mates, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 3,009$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.03 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 2,455$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.51 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 1,799$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.12 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 1,501$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.61 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,215$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.34 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 1,175$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.22 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Gentle Mates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 760.55$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 725.91$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.6 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 638$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 553.62$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Gentle Mates | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 432.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 383.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 375.19$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.67 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 364$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.58 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Gentle Mates | 47c | 283.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 249.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 209.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-RUBY | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 171$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Gentle Mates | 33c | 137.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…3336backed Gentle Mates | 35c | 135.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 119.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f1…dd82backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 115.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Gentle Mates | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 88.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 85.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Gentle Mates | 37c | 83.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Gentle Mates | 34c | 82.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Gentle Mates | 29c | 77.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 75.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 65.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked Gentle Mates | 34c | 64.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Gentle Mates | 31c | 59.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 46.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Gentle Mates | 38c | 46.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…19c8backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 41.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Gentle Mates | 38c | 34.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 30.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Gentle Mates | 56c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 26.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Gentle Mates | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 22.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed ex-RUBY | 50c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 22.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed ex-RUBY | 63c | 21.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 21.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed ex-RUBY | 67c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)Gentle Mates won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.