CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03489cd2236114be3584bfa959a4414a7856013d9361e37f803a1ff5134f8fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 24c | 1,372$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 73c | 979.16$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 77c | 961.27$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 441.81$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 23c | 419.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 7c | 193.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Under | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 20c | 79.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 32c | 68.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 74c | 13.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)Gentle Mates won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Gentle Mates (-3.5) vs ex-RUBY (+3.5)ex-RUBY won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs ex-RUBY (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.