CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792794b5eb92cda9c23b3cf6618e9868fdb4207f27044ff543f6b5e9aa0a2616
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 21,620$10,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,026.44 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 9,910$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.1 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…9c2bbacked Over | 51c | 9,865$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 51c | 7,348$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.73 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Under | 58c | 6,897$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,862.52 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 5,291$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,486.77 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Under | 55c | 5,022$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.44 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 62c | 4,655$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.1 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 53c | 3,675$1,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 36c | 3,240$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.8 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.41 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.9 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 42c | 2,430$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.57 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Over | 47c | 2,173$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.31 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 50c | 2,037$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.3 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 58c | 2,007$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.94 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,758$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.04 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Under | 50c | 1,508$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 1,500$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.15 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Under | 51c | 1,027$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 169 | 49.1%83 W · 86 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 40c | 900$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.46 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 59c | 856.07$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed Under | 60c | 773.11$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.21 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Over | 45c | 750$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 38c | 661.89$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed Under | 61c | 651.22$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 47c | 608.51$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…a3ebbacked Over | 46c | 540$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 37c | 523.31$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…97c2backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Under | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed Under | 71c | 442.02$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…e26abacked Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Under | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…8b4fbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56df…22c3backed Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…9408backed Over | 51c | 381.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 37c | 359.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 49c | 350$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 53c | 328.61$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.46 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 51c | 320$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 37c | 265.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…7d27backed Over | 49c | 253.48$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 199 | 47.2%94 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 51c | 241.18$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…01fcbacked Over | 47c | 220.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…547abacked Over | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…5952backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Under | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 33c | 191.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 49c | 183.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 62c | 155.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…509dbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Under | 51c | 149.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 21c | 149.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…4f48backed Over | 53c | 146.15$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Under | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Over | 47c | 125.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.76 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde80…44b1backed Over | 47c | 122.15$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 37c | 121.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…b630backed Over | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…184dbacked Under | 61c | 111.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Over | 49c | 106.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.28 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d0…24b5backed Over | 50c | 100.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1e…c023backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x130d…3205backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Over | 50c | 94.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 48c | 90.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Under | 52c | 86.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.