TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,462
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$103,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,462 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4337…8882backed Under49c21,620$10,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,026.4488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over50c9,910$4,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,964.164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9361…9c2bbacked Over51c9,865$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over51c7,348$3,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,732.7336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Under58c6,897$4,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.5292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under53c5,291$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,486.771,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed Under55c5,022$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.4414042.1%59 W · 81 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under62c4,655$2,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.11,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Over53c3,675$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.635543.6%24 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over36c3,240$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.82,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under46c3,000$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.412,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.914950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over42c2,430$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.575,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Over47c2,173$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.3126344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under50c2,037$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.35658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Under58c2,007$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.9428549.5%141 W · 144 L+1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9714934.9%52 W · 97 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c1,758$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0461948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Under50c1,508$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75429449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under51c1,500$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.1526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7964…f585backed Over47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015758%91 W · 66 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Under51c1,027$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4516949.1%83 W · 86 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4809160.4%55 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012441.1%51 W · 73 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over40c900$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.463,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under59c856.07$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.81944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Under60c773.11$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.214042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Over45c750$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over38c661.89$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.52,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed Under61c651.22$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.989748.5%47 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Over48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Over47c608.51$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28659343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Over47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28236555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4814…a3ebbacked Over46c540$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over37c523.31$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5545238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2407647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c27…97c2backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405538.2%21 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Over42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad9…0eaebacked Under60c500$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…f491backed Under71c442.02$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002661.5%16 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21027753.8%149 W · 128 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Under60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6735466.1%234 W · 120 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb434…8b4fbacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002475%18 W · 6 L+6.8wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969045.6%41 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e7…9408backed Over51c381.8$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7250%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over37c359.33$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.913,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2141…0effbacked Over49c350$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1725453.7%29 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under53c328.61$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66da…69b0backed Over51c320$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.228042.5%119 W · 161 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over37c265.52$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.121,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86df…7d27backed Over49c253.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.219947.2%94 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Under59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over51c241.18$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12330236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9027…01fcbacked Over47c220.87$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-63.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bf7…ea54backed Over49c220.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2615…547abacked Over49c220.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc564…e89dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020944.5%93 W · 116 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e1…c97fbacked Under50c198$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9911661.2%71 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Over33c191.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8949242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over49c183.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1373948.4%358 W · 381 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under62c155.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.5237149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7550050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Under51c149.98$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.998143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over21c149.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.592,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x428b…4f48backed Over53c146.15$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783050%15 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Under57c145$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4428651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e2…f6fbbacked Over47c125.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.762552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde80…44b1backed Over47c122.15$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over37c121.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.812,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Over21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210029%29 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.245240.3%182 W · 270 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc299…b630backed Over49c118.37$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99ef…184dbacked Under61c111.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5537453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Over47c110$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.78552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed Over51c107.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5524055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Over49c106.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d0…24b5backed Over50c100.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4718148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Under46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5458254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.432139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x130d…3205backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec7…88b8backed Over51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.984761.7%29 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Over50c94.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.174650%23 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under48c90.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.057843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91c4…9deabacked Under52c86.79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.834957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.