CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd298746d791476018e934802c4f159e59bfd44a70f312b5a83ae04fc9e41a788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Aurora Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked FURIA | 32c | 24,301$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,524.47 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA | 33c | 13,501$4,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,055.31 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 13,450$9,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,146 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,040 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 7,083$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,815.85 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked FURIA | 33c | 5,818$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.8 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 5,300$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.97 | 269 | 52.8%142 W · 127 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed FURIA | 33c | 3,000$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.66 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,608$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.18 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…13e7backed FURIA | 33c | 2,005$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,980$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.37 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FURIA | 33c | 1,828$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.96 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FURIA | 59c | 1,535$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.95 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FURIA | 31c | 1,322$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.12 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,250$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,032$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.13 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…4f63backed FURIA | 32c | 999.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.97 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 929.99$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.7 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 888.88$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.61 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 827.56$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.74 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 808.82$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…2380backed FURIA | 38c | 782.12$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FURIA | 32c | 761.02$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.88 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 735.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed FURIA | 32c | 669.52$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.28 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed FURIA | 32c | 654.86$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.4 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed FURIA | 32c | 624.24$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed FURIA | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.06 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 560.36$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.84 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 531.54$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 522.06$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa453…b665backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 490.77$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…16ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 482.61$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed FURIA | 32c | 465.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.87 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed FURIA | 31c | 465.76$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.37 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked FURIA | 48c | 436.19$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.22 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 427$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.09 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 414.16$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.63 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 351.5$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.51 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 312.88$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked FURIA | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f99…db70backed FURIA | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 305.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked FURIA | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 299.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.84 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…f989backed FURIA | 34c | 296.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf06…8758backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +14.9wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb2…97edbacked FURIA | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked FURIA | 30c | 272.56$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 31c | 240.44$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…214ebacked FURIA | 32c | 221.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 212.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.78 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed FURIA | 56c | 207.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed FURIA | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…8a32backed FURIA | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…0fc7backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 194.53$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 170$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3893…8afbbacked FURIA | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 154.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed FURIA | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed FURIA | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 149.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041e…bc83backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 146.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5518…38a0backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed FURIA | 32c | 137.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b5…67b4backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 136$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked FURIA | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 116.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed FURIA | 59c | 111.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 109.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 105.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed FURIA | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed FURIA | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 99.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 89.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…f815backed FURIA | 31c | 84.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed FURIA | 32c | 77.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 76.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…8c49backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 73.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x61ed…0f5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 71.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…ef6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 71.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked FURIA | 29c | 68.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.