CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e727a83544f2dd6a57cb739f39553d436d0705a143d0c08449385d513cd1170
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Aurora Gaming, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed FURIA | 51c | 49,553$25,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,476.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA | 52c | 30,815$16,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,809.99 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 23,610$8,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,079.44 | 416 | 40.4%168 W · 248 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 21,845$5,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783.69 | 233 | 30.9%72 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 19,861$9,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,930.41 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked FURIA | 62c | 12,505$7,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.13 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 11,581$5,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,558.71 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…a850backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 9,818$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 9,480$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,771.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed FURIA | 63c | 9,203$5,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.61 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 7,318$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.37 | 2,445 | 45.4%1,109 W · 1,336 L | -66.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf563…1338backed Aurora Gaming | 13c | 6,531$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked FURIA | 55c | 6,470$3,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.04 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 6,177$3,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,026.79 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 5,791$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.16 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…ffddbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 5,705$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 40c | 5,349$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,202.24 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9ff3backed Aurora Gaming | 8c | 5,320$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed FURIA | 56c | 5,275$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.1 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked FURIA | 49c | 5,271$2,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.16 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA | 75c | 5,250$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.93 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 5,050$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.5 | 190 | 61.1%116 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed FURIA | 71c | 4,661$3,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.63 | 2,732 | 30.3%829 W · 1,903 L | -120.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 4,328$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 4,106$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 4,006$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.87 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…c3d9backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 4,002$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.83 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 3,797$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 3,737$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.54 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FURIA | 68c | 3,708$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.23 | 2,502 | 43%1,077 W · 1,425 L | -73.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,707$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.43 | 661 | 51.9%343 W · 318 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FURIA | 69c | 3,702$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.2 | 2,293 | 43.3%994 W · 1,299 L | -70.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed FURIA | 54c | 3,306$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.74 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Aurora Gaming | 31c | 3,290$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.5 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 3,289$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.12 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked FURIA | 66c | 3,143$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.98 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA | 68c | 3,134$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.54 | 372 | 57.8%215 W · 157 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 3,094$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.72 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 3,083$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 3,011$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.95 | 804 | 39.7%319 W · 485 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked FURIA | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 149 | 34.9%52 W · 97 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FURIA | 38c | 2,951$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.62 | 2,500 | 44.6%1,115 W · 1,385 L | -67.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,820$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.67 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 2,721$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked FURIA | 55c | 2,664$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.68 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA | 50c | 2,650$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.18 | 769 | 45.3%348 W · 421 L | -23.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,619$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,540$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.2 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed FURIA | 36c | 2,400$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.1 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af3…8598backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 2,369$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.32 | 147 | 49.7%73 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 26c | 2,345$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 551 | 37.2%205 W · 346 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,263$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.22 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,251$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.47 | 350 | 31.1%109 W · 241 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0e…4933backed Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,230$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FURIA | 50c | 2,203$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.74 | 911 | 47.5%433 W · 478 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 2,169$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4568…d9f6backed FURIA | 37c | 2,156$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed FURIA | 55c | 2,049$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 2,037$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.28 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 2,035$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.19 | 371 | 40.2%149 W · 222 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA | 51c | 2,016$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.96 | 1,078 | 49.5%534 W · 544 L | +42.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 15c | 2,006$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.53 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a6…5d97backed FURIA | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,000$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed FURIA | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 33c | 1,906$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.91 | 2,749 | 47.6%1,309 W · 1,440 L | -37.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…afc5backed FURIA | 61c | 1,875$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.9 | 196 | 59.2%116 W · 80 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x851a…de17backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,860$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.25 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed FURIA | 66c | 1,833$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.77 | 505 | 64.8%327 W · 178 L | +59.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FURIA | 69c | 1,808$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.04 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,681$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.29 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,600$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752 | 662 | 50.3%333 W · 329 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,578$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed FURIA | 53c | 1,566$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.34 | 480 | 46.3%222 W · 258 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked FURIA | 31c | 1,500$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.67 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 1,500$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.46 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…2f5ebacked FURIA | 57c | 1,494$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,417$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.08 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed FURIA | 52c | 1,384$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.96 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Aurora Gaming | 36c | 1,373$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…a5ddbacked FURIA | 54c | 1,298$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.22 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA | 58c | 1,283$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.78 | 1,143 | 54.9%628 W · 515 L | +42.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 14c | 1,250$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.57 | 1,636 | 45.9%751 W · 885 L | +35.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,243$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.69 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 17c | 1,230$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.17 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,204$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FURIA | 63c | 1,204$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.61 | 407 | 68.1%277 W · 130 L | +28.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed FURIA | 45c | 1,169$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…5139backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 1,137$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed FURIA | 44c | 1,122$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.33 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 1,088$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.02 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 1,031$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…69b3backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.