CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae58e2ce8268d6d173200462b8a52d5d12442dc2d1b4ea369f268db0755f044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf964…a4cebacked Under | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Over | 51c | 2,067$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.01 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 1,546$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.97 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 49c | 802.45$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.25 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Over | 48c | 565.15$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.27 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 523.7$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 49c | 368.11$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d9…2085backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 51c | 290.2$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…6124backed Over | 51c | 266.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Over | 50c | 230.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.37 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…0a8ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 51c | 150.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Over | 50c | 102.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…be27backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…88b8backed Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…8c49backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8662backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Under | 47c | 37.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2f…a285backed Over | 49c | 23.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 49c | 23.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 50c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf577…7657backed Over | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.