CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8426be65e07294ace564de4163c136fd1eb5bfdcb8888aa7df174173da583e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Aurora Gaming, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,210,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,366,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,210,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed FURIA | 61c | 417,669$254,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,020.89 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 135,492$54,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,196.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 127,039$21,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,555.55 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 123,000$50,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,430 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,000 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 80,000$32,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,499.86 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 64,146$26,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,599.88 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed FURIA | 79c | 56,625$44,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,993.74 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed FURIA | 60c | 50,607$30,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,242.91 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 41,767$17,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,124.62 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 40,506$16,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,563.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked FURIA | 59c | 40,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,499.99 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 32,500$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,799.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 28,513$8,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,325.74 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…2620backed FURIA | 64c | 28,344$18,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,224.15 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 27,415$11,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,240.03 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked FURIA | 61c | 25,526$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.11 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 23,810$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Aurora Gaming | 10c | 23,641$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.63 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 23,536$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.35 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked FURIA | 60c | 23,238$13,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,304.19 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Aurora Gaming | 21c | 22,486$4,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,731.21 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0faa…1629backed Aurora Gaming | 5c | 20,523$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 20,000$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Aurora Gaming | 29c | 20,000$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.36 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA | 60c | 18,000$10,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.78 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 17,500$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,149.98 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed FURIA | 55c | 17,015$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,607.67 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed FURIA | 59c | 16,827$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,926.52 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 15,835$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.59 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…1a8cbacked FURIA | 51c | 15,703$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,702.66 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed FURIA | 68c | 15,638$10,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.91 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88b…19d9backed FURIA | 60c | 14,233$8,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,744.15 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA | 60c | 14,167$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,666.67 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 14,122$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,122 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed FURIA | 58c | 14,000$8,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 14,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.92 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Aurora Gaming | 34c | 13,217$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.25 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA | 59c | 13,145$7,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,385.08 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 12,800$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.98 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 28c | 12,776$3,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,582.66 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 12,653$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.11 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9361…9c2bbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 12,195$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 12,184$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.35 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked FURIA | 63c | 12,134$7,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 12,009$4,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,683.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed FURIA | 59c | 11,733$6,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked FURIA | 65c | 11,699$7,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,144.25 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 11,681$4,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,784.6 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Aurora Gaming | 5c | 11,565$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.78 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…5318backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 11,339$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed FURIA | 79c | 10,716$8,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.1 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 10,650$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,141.66 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…4adbbacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 10,526$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 10,455$4,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.55 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf61a…5943backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 10,176$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,052.69 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12b…5a89backed FURIA | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.96 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 9,346$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 9,237$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.74 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165e…f5aabacked FURIA | 58c | 9,221$5,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,872.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…80cfbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 9,175$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 8,909$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed FURIA | 68c | 8,797$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.86 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…7e93backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 8,759$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 8,670$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,468.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA | 58c | 8,630$5,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,624.6 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 7,976$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 7,655$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.6 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 7,625$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 7,624$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.43 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…95babacked Aurora Gaming | 19c | 7,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked FURIA | 57c | 7,500$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.98 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…8d0dbacked Aurora Gaming | 35c | 7,446$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FURIA | 58c | 7,169$4,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,031.74 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed FURIA | 62c | 7,018$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.75 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 7,000$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.89 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed FURIA | 60c | 6,867$4,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.8 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Aurora Gaming | 24c | 6,802$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 6,738$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 6,479$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked FURIA | 61c | 6,230$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.51 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked FURIA | 59c | 5,905$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.02 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,794$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.72 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 5,500$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed FURIA | 78c | 5,214$4,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.02 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 5,122$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked FURIA | 58c | 4,858$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,821$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked FURIA | 62c | 4,803$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.61 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Aurora Gaming | 39c | 4,751$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.04 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,679$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.32 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c30…619cbacked Aurora Gaming | 18c | 4,535$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.29 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 4,225$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked FURIA | 60c | 4,167$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked FURIA | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd044…a6febacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked FURIA | 73c | 3,971$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.35 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)FURIA won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.