TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9bb…cad6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT13754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 137 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Vitalem Aerem (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games Asian Qualifier Group Abacked The Huns Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$4.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$30.82
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$28.48
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$12.86
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.27
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.5
Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.64
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.51
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.59
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.05
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$16.59
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Dbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.49
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.42
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.79
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.31
Showing 25 of 137 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7356.2%41 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20.02
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs BoomBoys (+1.5)backed TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.41
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.3
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs PlayTime (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.25
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.16
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)backed Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$19.17
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+188.7%+$23.34
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$5.26
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.1
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$20.15
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.7
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.99
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)backed Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$13.95
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)backed Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$48.93
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.23
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$16.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.