TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BIGof G2, BIG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed BIG64c7,778$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.519055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G237c5,973$2,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,196.695,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed BIG63c5,543$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.8266551.9%345 W · 320 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked G236c5,047$1,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.7636152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed G235c3,141$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.7761047.7%291 W · 319 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed BIG63c3,000$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8992…ed1fbacked BIG64c2,700$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9724963.3%31 W · 18 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed G235c2,294$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.8488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed G236c2,192$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80059055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed BIG60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8003754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed G237c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed BIG64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36011844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed BIG64c999.95$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.981,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8be4…a700backed BIG64c950$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3425253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96a8…6107backed G258c868.1$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed G236c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked G236c750$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked G240c714.8$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.9212343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed G237c525$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2523949%117 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed G236c508.78$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1626952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked G236c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18039548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…5dc6backed BIG42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29013454.5%73 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked BIG66c420$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.82958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed G236c399.98$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.992437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed G239c395.01$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.321,01753.4%543 W · 474 L+65.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fc1…9a14backed BIG66c350$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1193243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ef…82b8backed G266c299.96$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.971866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed BIG64c289.06$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0620253%107 W · 95 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked BIG64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013242.4%56 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed G237c205.35$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.982,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3878…1ab8backed G237c202.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517840.4%72 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked G236c199.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7215849.4%78 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb42…176ebacked G237c162.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed G236c156.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5173854.5%402 W · 336 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2914…aff6backed BIG64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.253873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed BIG64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.258862.5%55 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed BIG64c155.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG37c151.36$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.731,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked G236c138$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6813836.2%50 W · 88 L-11.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5234…771cbacked G237c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed G240c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030639.5%121 W · 185 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed G240c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025848.8%126 W · 132 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked G240c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030339.3%119 W · 184 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked BIG34c120$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.248242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked BIG57c119.75$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.442,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed G241c115$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.452,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked G237c108.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked BIG62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3810461.5%64 W · 40 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed G236c99.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3665946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked BIG64c99.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.768662.8%54 W · 32 L+11.6wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked BIG49c91.11$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.023,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed BIG66c87.71$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.821,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked BIG66c85.76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3649651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed BIG48c84.19$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.768059.3%403 W · 277 L+64.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93aa…6ac0backed G237c83.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+192.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked BIG48c83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.826749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3e…7befbacked BIG64c79$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4418950.8%96 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c65…2e0dbacked BIG64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132475%18 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked BIG64c77.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2839338.2%150 W · 243 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed G240c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026244.3%116 W · 146 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked BIG64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2746042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed BIG64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.523762.9%149 W · 88 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed BIG64c60.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8910345.6%47 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed BIG53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52,46724.6%606 W · 1,861 L-318.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x16de…2ebdbacked BIG64c55.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.983470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed G237c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010626.4%28 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BIG56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.754,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked G240c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010355.3%57 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked BIG64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed BIG62c43.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.537843.6%34 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed G237c43.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9619453.6%104 W · 90 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x091a…8287backed BIG64c41.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed G237c41.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.242,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed G265c41.14$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.641,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed G240c37.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8716146.6%75 W · 86 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed BIG54c35.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2267645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed BIG48c34.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.052975.9%22 W · 7 L+7.2wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+47.6%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked G237c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211250%56 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9bb…cad6backed G237c31.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7413754%74 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed BIG64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2519051.1%97 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ea3…6190backed BIG64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ba…4530backed BIG64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked BIG64c31.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1714769.4%102 W · 45 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed G236c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.867350.1%337 W · 336 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed BIG64c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.88454.8%46 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed BIG61c25.64$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,82847.6%871 W · 957 L-54.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked G244c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171651%365 W · 351 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed G242c24.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3221652.8%114 W · 102 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f90…4af9backed BIG66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.732944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed G248c20.84$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…b241backed BIG64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed BIG63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44161%25 W · 16 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf417…b1bebacked BIG64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe675…e967backed BIG64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.