CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648383569a00159e1bbcb0cbfb5cf27093a29bafe1fcb73622ef6532d6810747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b19…3ee1backed Under | 0c | 11,730$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Over | 49c | 10,293$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.63 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 4,128$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.32 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Under | 52c | 2,701$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.52 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 52c | 1,780$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.38 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 1,186$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.93 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.68 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 46c | 984.47$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.6 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 750$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 600$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Under | 51c | 517.91$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.13 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 51c | 216.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 51c | 209.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 203 | 53.2%108 W · 95 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Over | 48c | 209.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 52c | 199$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…8d9cbacked Over | 45c | 149.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…dd56backed Over | 48c | 120.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 46c | 119.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 40c | 118.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.96 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Under | 65c | 104.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 48.5%126 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Over | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 54c | 92.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 54c | 92.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 55c | 84.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 40c | 75.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 46c | 66.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3793…8f46backed Over | 49c | 61.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 29c | 60.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 45c | 58.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 47c | 55.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 55c | 54.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 57c | 51.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 51.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 49.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…b037backed Under | 64c | 43.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 37c | 41.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c83…6a0ebacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 40c | 26.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 51c | 26.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 208 | 56.3%117 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 24.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 74c | 21.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 53c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group AG2 won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)G2 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5Over won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.