Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x979f299a27deb10109f2825c5e967b2549d4dda880bbe790a2d83d0f46629789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof TEAM VISION, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 109,697$36,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,447.68 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 25,000$16,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,750 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 10,999$7,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,378.81 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 9,003$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.13 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 8,412$5,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,636.07 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 8,145$5,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.25 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 7,800$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 4,439$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 4,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,840 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 3,814$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.38 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…7104backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 3,739$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 3,701$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.53 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 3,322$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.73 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked TEAM VISION | 66c | 3,124$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.54 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 2,979$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.26 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 2,400$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 2,190$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.1 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,800$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 1,578$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 1,500$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.3 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 1,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 1,473$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.08 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 1,343$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 1,341$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.47 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 1,240$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.02 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…2a00backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 1,203$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 1,198$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.58 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 1,030$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.99 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 900$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…180abacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 876$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 747.76$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked TEAM VISION | 69c | 733.24$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.8 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 668.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.69 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed TEAM VISION | 38c | 661$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 184 | 46.7%86 W · 98 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 536.26$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.29 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 534.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.49 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 527$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.09 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 504.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.34 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Virtus.pro | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 476.81$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.46 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 390$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 376.35$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.5 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked TEAM VISION | 72c | 375.1$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 369.23$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.23 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 319$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.11 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 305$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TEAM VISION | 71c | 301.14$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.24 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 284.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked TEAM VISION | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked TEAM VISION | 71c | 277$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.67 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 276$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed TEAM VISION | 69c | 268$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 265.55$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TEAM VISION | 68c | 260$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 252.52$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.49 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 241$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed TEAM VISION | 74c | 204.1$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 202.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.86 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked TEAM VISION | 72c | 190.76$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.35 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 170$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 147.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 142.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked TEAM VISION | 71c | 132.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.1 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…6da8backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 123.15$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 113$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 104.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked TEAM VISION | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed TEAM VISION | 74c | 100.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 94.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.41 | 136 | 45.6%62 W · 74 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 90$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…6ef5backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 83.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 83.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 77.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 463 | 54.6%253 W · 210 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed TEAM VISION | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bb…cad6backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 69.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 62.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 60.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 51.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked TEAM VISION | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e11…d36ebacked TEAM VISION | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1a…e8a4backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 48.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked TEAM VISION | 66c | 47.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 47.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTEAM VISION won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.