Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22347d9b93ce4c7f6fdb99aa6772736518043d0230dc902072247d2fe3a71aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEAM VISIONof Virtus.pro, TEAM VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $489,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $569,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $489,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 27,155$6,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,536.26 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 23,917$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.79 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked TEAM VISION | 69c | 17,009$11,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,218.6 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…c0b1backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 16,286$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,944.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 10,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…998bbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 9,205$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.09 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 8,516$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,823.12 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 20c | 8,131$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,631.39 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 7,721$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.64 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…624fbacked TEAM VISION | 75c | 6,950$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 11c | 6,640$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.91 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 6,574$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.06 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…a570backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 6,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 6,030$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,030.16 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed TEAM VISION | 73c | 5,775$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.59 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 5,360$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.79 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 5,189$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.35 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Virtus.pro | 24c | 4,633$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.56 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…6e25backed Virtus.pro | 16c | 4,175$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed TEAM VISION | 66c | 4,000$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 3,890$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.35 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 3,854$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.28 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 3,705$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 3,500$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.5 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 3,417$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.98 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 3,392$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52c…01f4backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 3,240$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed TEAM VISION | 70c | 3,000$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f14…ec62backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 3,000$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 2,902$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.52 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed TEAM VISION | 79c | 2,700$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.6 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Virtus.pro | 8c | 2,665$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.57 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked TEAM VISION | 73c | 2,600$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.7 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked TEAM VISION | 68c | 2,600$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.4 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 2,577$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.26 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f1…45e1backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 2,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a8…246dbacked TEAM VISION | 77c | 2,400$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 2,389$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.07 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 2,318$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.88 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4f…9b0cbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 2,310$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.21 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Virtus.pro | 16c | 2,299$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 2,221$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.19 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 23c | 2,208$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.73 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 2,100$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 1,906$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,876$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.79 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,813$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…73f9backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 1,526$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,434$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.22 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed TEAM VISION | 79c | 1,422$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 1,358$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,306$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 1,305$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 1,203$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.61 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Virtus.pro | 2c | 1,200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0217…1579backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,041$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.14 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 1,032$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.69 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 1,019$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.96 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 1,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.02 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…27a9backed Virtus.pro | 26c | 999.93$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 983.91$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TEAM VISION | 74c | 895.78$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked TEAM VISION | 68c | 873.29$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.24 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 825.25$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.98 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 825.11$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.7 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed TEAM VISION | 77c | 777.4$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…4243backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 770$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Virtus.pro | 7c | 750$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 39.5%101 W · 155 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed TEAM VISION | 78c | 750$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 736.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.82 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed TEAM VISION | 54c | 717.19$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.52 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked TEAM VISION | 73c | 716.56$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.93 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 691$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 690.32$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.64 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Virtus.pro | 17c | 673.39$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.26 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 673.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…24fabacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 651.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 636.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 631.27$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Virtus.pro | 12c | 630.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 630$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.61 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 624.01$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.07 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed TEAM VISION | 72c | 600$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f7…71d2backed TEAM VISION | 68c | 583.03$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed TEAM VISION | 50c | 563.52$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.76 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed TEAM VISION | 56c | 549.61$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Virtus.pro | 33c | 547.98$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7017…7faebacked Virtus.pro | 9c | 543.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…bc2fbacked TEAM VISION | 65c | 538.65$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.06 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Virtus.pro | 2c | 533.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 532.54$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa832…1346backed TEAM VISION | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 518.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked TEAM VISION | 68c | 515.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 507.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…60ccbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 505.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerTEAM VISION won
- Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.