TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1032…4243

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerbacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.67
Counter-Strike: Patins da Ferrari vs ODDIK (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group Stagebacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.56
Counter-Strike: Kosovo vs Lithuania (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup East European Qualifier Playoffsbacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$252.47
Counter-Strike: M80 vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked LAG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Group Abacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$76.28
Map Handicap: FX (-1.5) vs paiN Academy (+1.5)backed paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$482.58
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.47
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+203%+$79.4
Counter-Strike: Fortress vs Endless Journey - Map 2 Winnerbacked Fortress · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.35
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - ESEA European Finals Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.19
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked TDK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$142.56
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.06
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.93
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)backed Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+118.3%+$164.26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.09
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Playoffsbacked MARKandLARRY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.58
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.88
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.91
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.05
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked G2 Ares · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.23
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group Cbacked Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.9
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Play-Inbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$154.74
All 22 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: 7REX vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.17
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Ici Japon Corp. Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.32
Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)backed GIANTX iTero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.88
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.54
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)backed Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$308.61
LoL: FALKE Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.37
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5)backed Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$158.65
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$642Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$642.39
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$83.78
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$686Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.61
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$514.89
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$628.46
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$111.75
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5)backed Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.