CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebc70bf676de6f71d1978bb3255d1d4852ce1d9f920291ba5e800acae701df89

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Alpha Dominion Nationof MASQ, Alpha Dominion Nation
Resolved: Jun 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,910
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,910 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x52e9…c2c1backed MASQ	61c	825.13$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d41…f085backed Alpha Dominion Nation	23c	525.55$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.6	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Alpha Dominion Nation	24c	438.47$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.2	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MASQ	13c	381.03$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.39	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MASQ	58c	352.59$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.59	2,774	24.5%681 W · 2,093 L	-295.8wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Alpha Dominion Nation	27c	326.05$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.12	406	39.4%160 W · 246 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alpha Dominion Nation	40c	285.37$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.22	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alpha Dominion Nation	26c	250.97$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.68	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MASQ	56c	221.83$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.95	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Alpha Dominion Nation	53c	211$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.81	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked MASQ	53c	196.75$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.01	1,352	52%703 W · 649 L	+29.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	38c	188$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.56	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MASQ	77c	159.99$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.73	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…8c4dbacked MASQ	15c	138.11$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1810…ac44backed MASQ	73c	136.96$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed MASQ	47c	128.98$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	394	40.4%159 W · 235 L	+30.0wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	40c	128.56$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.24	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ac7…3ef9backed Alpha Dominion Nation	24c	125$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1032…4243backed Alpha Dominion Nation	33c	118.5$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.4	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	26c	112.5$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.5	160	32.5%52 W · 108 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked MASQ	52c	110.19$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	545	43.5%237 W · 308 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	77c	110$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.71	3,202	45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L	-79.3wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked MASQ	58c	109.83$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.02	746	53.5%399 W · 347 L	+9.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed MASQ	73c	109.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	216	36.1%78 W · 138 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1340…7f01backed MASQ	75c	106.03$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.65	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked MASQ	57c	105.48$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.12	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	47c	103$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.43	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed MASQ	73c	100$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed MASQ	76c	100$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	619	48%297 W · 322 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked MASQ	43c	99.39$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	89	47.2%42 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed MASQ	59c	94.1$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x023e…47b8backed MASQ	66c	89.97$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Alpha Dominion Nation	41c	89.23$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.76	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed MASQ	74c	84.24$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.35	754	38.9%293 W · 461 L	-38.9wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Alpha Dominion Nation	40c	81.36$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.84	883	30.7%271 W · 612 L	-63.8wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	43c	80.89$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.4	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Alpha Dominion Nation	33c	80.12$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.93	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed MASQ	60c	78$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.8	405	42%170 W · 235 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MASQ	74c	75.57$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.94	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked MASQ	44c	75$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	220	37.3%82 W · 138 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Alpha Dominion Nation	25c	71.7$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.78	198	40.9%81 W · 117 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked MASQ	38c	65.15$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed MASQ	58c	65$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.81	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed MASQ	74c	65$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.1	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked MASQ	37c	63.05$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	1,591	46.6%741 W · 850 L	+30.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MASQ	80c	62.25$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.8	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed MASQ	74c	59$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.66	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe26b…a9ecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	26c	58.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.79	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+5.8wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked MASQ	77c	55.42$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	512	52.1%267 W · 245 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	55c	52.69$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.6	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed MASQ	57c	52.4$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Alpha Dominion Nation	44c	51.62$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.77	2,508	41%1,029 W · 1,479 L	-115.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	35c	50.86$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.22	1,650	32.7%540 W · 1,110 L	-49.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed MASQ	76c	50.18$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	523	69.4%363 W · 160 L	-7.4wins	-0.01per pick	71cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	48c	50.05$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	630	38.6%243 W · 387 L	-26.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc56…6ffdbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	20c	50$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	35c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	371	49.6%184 W · 187 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8202backed MASQ	61c	45.3$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.6	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Alpha Dominion Nation	32c	43.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.51	351	41.6%146 W · 205 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbac…ecc4backed Alpha Dominion Nation	44c	36.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.7	188	41.5%78 W · 110 L	-19.4wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked MASQ	76c	35.82$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	489	48.9%239 W · 250 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…dd13backed MASQ	72c	34.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	51	78.4%40 W · 11 L	+7.4wins	+0.14per pick	64cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Alpha Dominion Nation	45c	34.2$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.81	239	56.5%135 W · 104 L	+15.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Alpha Dominion Nation	34c	32.35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.35	306	38.9%119 W · 187 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Alpha Dominion Nation	35c	31.83$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.83	218	50.9%111 W · 107 L	+17.5wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked MASQ	44c	31.82$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+16%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Alpha Dominion Nation	42c	30$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.4	739	48.4%358 W · 381 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Alpha Dominion Nation	47c	28.98$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.24	1,302	41.2%536 W · 766 L	-50.1wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x330f…91b1backed MASQ	69c	21.74$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	162	56.8%92 W · 70 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5539…19f8backed Alpha Dominion Nation	60c	20.91$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	56	48.2%27 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f8…0cbbbacked MASQ	77c	20.65$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	79cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked MASQ	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed MASQ	51c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…56e3backed MASQ	78c	19.99$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.69	338	69.8%236 W · 102 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	67cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsthis page
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 1 WinnerAlpha Dominion Nation won
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation - Map 2 WinnerMASQ won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event