TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ac7…3ef9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.69
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.83
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.07
Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.16
Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$90.61
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 172.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$140.04
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Dallas Wings vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$22.6
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+97.1%+$50.45
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.21
Chicago Sky vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$246
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.8
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+515%+$394.06
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
New York Liberty vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.09
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.79
Toronto Tempo vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 180.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.65
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$145.11
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$291.25
Washington Mystics vs. New York Libertybacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.14
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.06
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$173.39
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.63
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$340.54
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.06
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$502.4
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$381Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+125.6%+$478.62
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.28
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.28
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.33
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.77
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$458Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$458.48
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+300%+$536.94
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.23
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$761Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$760.61
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+203%+$1,505.39
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.46
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$304.77
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.48
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$473.88
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$112.71
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Voca vs regain - Map 1 Winnerbacked regain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.87
Counter-Strike: shimmer vs MIBR fe (BO5) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked MIBR fe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$64.13
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Alpha Dominion Nation (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Alpha Dominion Nation · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$95
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.83
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$96.06
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked MASONIC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Group Stagebacked R2 Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.34
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Wildcard (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$370.14
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.35
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #4 Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$228.44
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick17cpaid+169.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Bald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.06
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.