TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Toronto Tempo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$270,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Toronto Tempo46c37,275$17,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,024.9110749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings53c28,859$15,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,466.799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Toronto Tempo8c21,532$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.9634726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebfd…fd63backed Toronto Tempo51c20,904$10,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,592.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Dallas Wings65c15,000$9,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,175.58159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings53c12,023$6,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,693.321,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Dallas Wings61c9,319$5,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,630.245050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo25c8,598$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.4727449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8735…db43backed Dallas Wings76c7,813$5,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.19366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Tempo26c5,966$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,572.8383748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Dallas Wings77c5,518$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.957740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Tempo24c5,028$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.5140550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Dallas Wings75c4,622$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.4111754.7%64 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Dallas Wings66c4,351$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.523933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Toronto Tempo26c3,650$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9357236.1%26 W · 46 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo36c3,457$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.581,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Dallas Wings72c3,422$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.2729654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Dallas Wings54c2,545$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.7614346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Toronto Tempo36c2,479$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x55fd…b51abacked Toronto Tempo42c2,369$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Toronto Tempo24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Dallas Wings72c1,977$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.2932049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Dallas Wings74c1,943$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.615538.2%21 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Dallas Wings76c1,859$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.214763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Dallas Wings57c1,786$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.0231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6404…f250backed Dallas Wings75c1,726$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Dallas Wings65c1,657$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.919458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Toronto Tempo61c1,639$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Dallas Wings60c1,605$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64221440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Toronto Tempo40c1,575$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.823342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Toronto Tempo26c1,336$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.412846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Toronto Tempo29c1,234$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.868733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Toronto Tempo39c1,220$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.76746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Toronto Tempo32c1,213$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Toronto Tempo39c1,189$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6614947.7%71 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Tempo28c1,103$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.8392248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Toronto Tempo23c1,100$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Dallas Wings75c779.29$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.330649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Toronto Tempo40c761.35$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.1331448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Dallas Wings59c736.73$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.274746.8%22 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Dallas Wings62c694.3$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3841147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Dallas Wings71c665.99$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.141553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Dallas Wings50c646$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32324852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf03b…3ba1backed Toronto Tempo47c638.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Tempo41c618.79$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Dallas Wings61c615.81$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.1750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Dallas Wings55c580.25$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.025149%25 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab4a…823abacked Toronto Tempo30c571.42$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Toronto Tempo36c569.55$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7715250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe342…b692backed Toronto Tempo29c560$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Toronto Tempo35c556.56$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.84645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Toronto Tempo39c517.95$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Tempo30c465.09$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1431847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Toronto Tempo41c451.57$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9436454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Dallas Wings65c449.03$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5729…b054backed Dallas Wings48c418.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.423100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+128.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Dallas Wings64c414.77$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8716633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Dallas Wings52c405$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.352958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfd4…91f7backed Toronto Tempo40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601090%9 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick48cpaid+87%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Toronto Tempo30c396.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Dallas Wings63c387.55$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.3710634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x937b…2909backed Toronto Tempo40c380.41$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Toronto Tempo37c377$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9255255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Dallas Wings75c369.03$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.513881.6%31 W · 7 L+11.1wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+56.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dallas Wings56c361$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8426147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Toronto Tempo27c331.43$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.493938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Dallas Wings59c324.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Toronto Tempo31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Dallas Wings63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4612234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Toronto Tempo16c313.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Dallas Wings61c304.41$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6789349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac7…3ef9backed Toronto Tempo34c302.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.832740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Dallas Wings60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1206055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Toronto Tempo13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3913024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed Toronto Tempo25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Toronto Tempo16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Dallas Wings61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.19938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Dallas Wings58c299.99$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Toronto Tempo31c290.32$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Toronto Tempo51c275$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0210340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings52c273.14$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Toronto Tempo13c269.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3434753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa614…0bafbacked Dallas Wings51c258$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Dallas Wings61c252.23$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2319031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Dallas Wings60c248.84$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8410453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Dallas Wings71c230$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6724347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ce…e4b0backed Dallas Wings62c226.27$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.98616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Toronto Tempo45c225.7$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcde…0fb1backed Dallas Wings54c223.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Tempo42c222.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9730347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Dallas Wings70c221.99$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.66549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Dallas Wings59c221.49$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.819549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Toronto Tempo27c209.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.317143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Toronto Tempo24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2561…ce3ebacked Toronto Tempo49c203.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Toronto Tempo34c203.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.161643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdf5…d359backed Toronto Tempo39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787944.3%35 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf92…9e59backed Dallas Wings76c198.44$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Toronto Tempo32c196.42$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.336640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Toronto Tempo39c190.28$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.219635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.