WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a05c8079d9cf53ccbe88d947e9348b310cda3726746acea4e4bf4e941773353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 52c | 20,244$10,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,526.99 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 6,667$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.64 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.9 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 3,365$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.9 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 2,243$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.65 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,573$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.91 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 1,570$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.62 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 1,038$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.27 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.01 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 52c | 951.56$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 50c | 943.7$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 888$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 49c | 805.53$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 796.92$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.46 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 793.82$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.27 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 780$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.2 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Over | 48c | 479.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 50c | 390.91$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.54 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x518f…cf91backed Over | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 376.84$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.96 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 265.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 48c | 225.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 49c | 192.41$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 52c | 145.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.42 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 116$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 99.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 68.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 48c | 54.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 48c | 46.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 50c | 37.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8378…0090backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Over | 49c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 22.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.