WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2b545a365cd9ca135d809c7394bc9071a0d0275bd789c81553c0d9fae312776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dallas Wingsof Dallas Wings, Toronto Tempo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 2,270$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.15 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 2,056$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.79 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.95 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 1,400$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Toronto Tempo | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Toronto Tempo | 53c | 1,111$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.83 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 1,056$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.52 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.89 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Dallas Wings | 47c | 907$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.71 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 414.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Toronto Tempo | 48c | 398.9$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 338.36$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.05 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Dallas Wings | 53c | 300.3$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.22 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Toronto Tempo | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 292.3$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf92…9e59backed Dallas Wings | 53c | 283.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Tempo | 52c | 267.37$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 212$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 198.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Dallas Wings | 54c | 130.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Toronto Tempo | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Dallas Wings | 42c | 67.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Toronto Tempo | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Dallas Wings | 51c | 64.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Toronto Tempo | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 59.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Dallas Wings | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Dallas Wings | 50c | 41.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Tempo | 50c | 38.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 37.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Toronto Tempo | 48c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…afc3backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Dallas Wings | 49c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Dallas Wings | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.