WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179829caefa6730cc7b47d71d25b2000865696f31618b6153feb032d0788e353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,983
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 54c | 3,799$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.48 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 2,218$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 809$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.86 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 570.82$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.72 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 400.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.19 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 48c | 394.61$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 51c | 350.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.69 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 154.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.33 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 137.63$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 70.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 67.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f11…749dbacked Over | 47c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked Under | 53c | 19.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 179.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto TempoDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 177.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 178.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 180.5Over won
- Nyara Sabally: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Nyara Sabally: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5)Dallas Wings won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-7.5)Dallas Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.