Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e2cb75c80c9d4a9aaf87773eccc4105900c8070fc6229dc8c239d3b0c689193
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Dorado Gaming | 0c | 11,144$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Conviction | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Conviction | 78c | 836.51$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…93f4backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 773.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 115 | 32.2%37 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23c…07cebacked Dorado Gaming | 22c | 636.41$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 64c | 526.5$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dorado Gaming | 7c | 519.51$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Dorado Gaming | 14c | 501.79$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Dorado Gaming | 3c | 350.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 248 | 35.1%87 W · 161 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Dorado Gaming | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Dorado Gaming | 6c | 224.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Dorado Gaming | 16c | 212.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0201…9eeebacked Conviction | 15c | 182$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Dorado Gaming | 15c | 151.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 151.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Dorado Gaming | 9c | 133$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4967…4292backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 121.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Conviction | 17c | 115.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Conviction | 15c | 107.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Conviction | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Conviction | 79c | 73.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Conviction | 14c | 71.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.