Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16efd45cb4566dce4a5bfbaef22cce3c446ae92b9e1b8a92f55b4c107c492bbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3936…366dbacked Dorado Gaming | 12c | 8,381$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…821abacked Dorado Gaming | 1c | 1,832$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 78c | 1,795$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.61 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Conviction | 26c | 1,681$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.72 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Dorado Gaming | 23c | 900$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Conviction | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…cc95backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 875.31$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.77 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Conviction | 76c | 841.31$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.91 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 627.85$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.75 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Conviction | 25c | 602$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 426$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed Dorado Gaming | 24c | 425$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 402.93$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 402.93$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 402.93$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.17 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Conviction | 25c | 397.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Dorado Gaming | 78c | 355.6$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.91 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 346.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 40.4%161 W · 238 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 331.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Conviction | 76c | 270.91$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Dorado Gaming | 17c | 254.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 251.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 419 | 45.1%189 W · 230 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Dorado Gaming | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dorado Gaming | 20c | 210.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Conviction | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9f…fa1cbacked Dorado Gaming | 9c | 167.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Dorado Gaming | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Conviction | 78c | 139.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Dorado Gaming | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Conviction | 16c | 130.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Conviction | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dorado Gaming | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Conviction | 77c | 90$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Conviction | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Dorado Gaming | 51c | 82.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…af5bbacked Conviction | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 106 | 39.6%42 W · 64 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…0c09backed Dorado Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 74c | 48.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 45.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Conviction | 51c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Conviction | 75c | 39.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…e88fbacked Dorado Gaming | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 73c | 32.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed Conviction | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Conviction | 79c | 24.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 281 | 65.5%184 W · 97 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Conviction | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…5c74backed Conviction | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Conviction | 77c | 18.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…1192backed Conviction | 77c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 17.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Conviction | 69c | 17.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…87e7backed Conviction | 75c | 15.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 160 | 63.8%102 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Conviction | 80c | 14.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.