Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cd886492c465139c61e9f6fc46522904803d483a75e1e84dc2e6d8cf79fd064
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Dorado Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,432
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,432 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Conviction | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…a00abacked Conviction | 26c | 2,673$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.19 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Dorado Gaming | 75c | 1,619$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Dorado Gaming | 30c | 950.98$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.19 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 753.66$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.25 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 71c | 456$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.51 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Dorado Gaming | 75c | 445$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.75 | 123 | 52%64 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 428.38$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 595 | 48.2%287 W · 308 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 404.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 404.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 404.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 400.12$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.09 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Conviction | 26c | 389.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.79 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 306.08$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…0d85backed Dorado Gaming | 13c | 212$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Dorado Gaming | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 329 | 39.8%131 W · 198 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Conviction | 25c | 203$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Dorado Gaming | 75c | 148$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 80c | 147.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Dorado Gaming | 75c | 142$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 134.04$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…0e38backed Dorado Gaming | 10c | 127.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Conviction | 79c | 126.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 111$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 383 | 58%222 W · 161 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…cfabbacked Dorado Gaming | 14c | 110.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 237 | 40.5%96 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Dorado Gaming | 28c | 107.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Conviction | 72c | 107.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 101$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 184 | 59.8%110 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Dorado Gaming | 74c | 88.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Dorado Gaming | 26c | 73.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 375 | 48%180 W · 195 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 56.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 45.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Conviction | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Dorado Gaming | 25c | 43.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Dorado Gaming | 59c | 31.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Dorado Gaming | 75c | 31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dorado Gaming | 73c | 24.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6b…bc2abacked Conviction | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 281 | 65.5%184 W · 97 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 16.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,577 | 48.4%764 W · 813 L | +17.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Conviction | 79c | 15.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Dorado Gaming | 74c | 14.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Dorado Gaming (+1.5)Conviction won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 2 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.