WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836bcee28e229b49514b9680078ab23374cc4488be9227fa11c2503d33417044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 1,485$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.73 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 670 | 51.5%345 W · 325 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 889.97$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.91 | 803 | 48.7%391 W · 412 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 869.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.73 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 833.31$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.59 | 856 | 58.4%500 W · 356 L | +70.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 47c | 589$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.05 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 463.43$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 49c | 431.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.95 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 369.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 51c | 253$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 25c | 122.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Over | 51c | 102.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 50c | 86.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.07 | 613 | 42.4%260 W · 353 L | -31.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 75c | 22.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.