WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5b2d61b590d24b1c9cf816efae6b5c1feec46a4449e52f1f036b979d76784c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,668
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,668 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 11,446$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,357.17 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 1,863$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.86 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,452$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.44 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 41c | 1,259$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.37 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm | 64c | 931.75$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 267.84$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.04 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 49c | 196.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.08 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 52c | 128.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 36c | 110.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Liberty | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked New York Liberty | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked New York Liberty | 43c | 84.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Storm | 57c | 79.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8c…1e30backed New York Liberty | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed New York Liberty | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed New York Liberty | 45c | 61.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Seattle Storm | 61c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked New York Liberty | 33c | 48.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Seattle Storm | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed New York Liberty | 39c | 43.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Seattle Storm | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed New York Liberty | 49c | 38.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked New York Liberty | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)Seattle Storm won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.