TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seattle Stormof New York Liberty, Seattle Storm
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,993
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,993 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty51c9,152$4,648 inLost-$4,647.5578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Seattle Storm49c6,630$3,249 inWon+$3,381.31844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Seattle Storm50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,00013746%63 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm50c1,593$800 inWon+$792.6423049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty50c1,216$610 inLost-$609.938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed New York Liberty51c1,111$567 inLost-$566.619651%49 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked New York Liberty52c900$468 inLost-$4683644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed New York Liberty52c899.99$464 inLost-$463.994551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Seattle Storm48c813.79$395 inWon+$419.1792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Seattle Storm50c797.86$396 inWon+$402.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Seattle Storm48c791.65$380 inWon+$411.667638.2%29 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Liberty50c720$360 inLost-$3609445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Seattle Storm47c701.86$333 inWon+$369.018145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm49c612.22$300 inWon+$312.2364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Seattle Storm49c568.35$278 inWon+$289.8641145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty50c484.65$242 inLost-$242.331,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed New York Liberty53c467.89$250 inLost-$2502227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Storm48c300.85$146 inWon+$154.971,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe29…69f9backed Seattle Storm61c275.76$169 inWon+$106.762466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed New York Liberty50c200$100 inLost-$10011552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked New York Liberty52c192.31$100 inLost-$1002050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb96…ea06backed Seattle Storm49c105.84$52 inWon+$53.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Seattle Storm49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Seattle Storm49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.041030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty38c97.03$37 inLost-$36.8674942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed New York Liberty50c87$44 inLost-$43.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Seattle Storm49c81.63$40 inWon+$41.631764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Seattle Storm49c59.18$29 inWon+$30.183040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed New York Liberty49c58.69$29 inLost-$28.9227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed New York Liberty50c50$25 inLost-$2510543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked New York Liberty50c40$20 inLost-$207040%28 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b41…cebabacked Seattle Storm49c35.08$17 inWon+$17.89825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Seattle Storm47c30$14 inWon+$15.934918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Seattle Storm52c21.17$11 inWon+$10.1671245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.