NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19c99f7fa4c4fadd3f751bffb7f95e5aa73f8ca4590c2471eb2ce7843c224d95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 75c | 13,054$9,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.5 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 25c | 12,559$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.85 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 59c | 7,397$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.66 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Under | 41c | 4,451$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.81 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 3,806$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 71c | 2,532$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.76 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 1,707$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.61 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Over | 58c | 1,694$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.35 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,669$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 28c | 1,464$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.36 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 42c | 1,281$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 1,025$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 41c | 994$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 71c | 800$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.08 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 46c | 790.43$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.23 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…8322backed Over | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 44c | 719.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Under | 44c | 567.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 54c | 544.45$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.88 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Over | 57c | 527.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…813ebacked Under | 44c | 392.91$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Over | 57c | 347.37$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 267.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 43c | 256.33$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 44c | 229.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 25c | 225.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 26c | 220.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 26c | 220.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 26c | 204.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 56c | 180.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…3ef9backed Under | 28c | 179.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…9577backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 136.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 27c | 133.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.74 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…c640backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Over | 80c | 100.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 43c | 95.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ee64backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 346 | 61.6%213 W · 133 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d970backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…9db0backed Under | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…c6b3backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…1346backed Over | 56c | 67.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…72dabacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 45c | 51.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Under | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Under | 45c | 49.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afb…a253backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Over | 57c | 40.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…e7b6backed Over | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 30c | 36.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd662…aeb5backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 38c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 73c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 45c | 27.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 56c | 27.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…e891backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…be1cbacked Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7066backed Over | 57c | 21.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91eb…d41ebacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.