NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a7a70e5a0c37c7eabbc81905aa3ef12d3fd0e22edd38cc9a62e8a7e69594ae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 5,745$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.43 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 54c | 3,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…ea67backed Over | 44c | 3,696$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.31 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 55c | 3,067$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.82 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 56c | 2,657$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 2,298$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.13 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 1,340$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 47c | 908.21$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.9 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 65c | 774.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.07 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 46c | 757.24$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 41c | 755.27$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.35 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 53c | 607.8$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.45 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Under | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.71 | 241 | 59.8%144 W · 97 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 397.55$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.6 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 29c | 366.14$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.61 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…580fbacked Under | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 58c | 261.38$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.6 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 246.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.75 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 58c | 235.93$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.84 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 50c | 207.04$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.07 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 195.47$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.52 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 41c | 168.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Over | 54c | 130.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…057fbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 56c | 82.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…2cf7backed Under | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked Over | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 40c | 66.16$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Over | 43c | 49.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 46c | 46.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Over | 45c | 41.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 51c | 37.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a8…82e1backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc322…a836backed Under | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -8.4wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 61c | 31.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…e0c9backed Under | 48c | 27.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Under | 42c | 26.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 57c | 22.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 55c | 21.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Over | 50c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…ce0fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a24…36ddbacked Under | 65c | 16.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
- Julius Randle: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Julius Randle: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. TimberwolvesSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 219.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spurs vs. Timberwolves: Odd/Even ScoreEven won
- Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Stephon Castle: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.