TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,473
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,473 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes61c982.93$600 inLost-$60011558.3%67 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+88.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No38c785.85$299 inWon+$486.8779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No42c437.52$183 inWon+$254.041,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Yes56c340.49$191 inLost-$191.0539864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No42c299.99$126 inWon+$173.9956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked No45c296.29$133 inWon+$162.9612451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No40c283.28$113 inWon+$169.9790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8fd…3e24backed Yes59c192$113 inLost-$113.281952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0fd…a91ebacked Yes60c166.67$100 inLost-$1009353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9608…8cf3backed No43c140.31$60 inWon+$80.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes40c120.01$48 inLost-$4843752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed No60c120$72 inWon+$488043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes45c120$54 inLost-$547751.9%40 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes60c116.62$70 inLost-$69.978354.2%45 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes40c104.58$42 inLost-$41.8385449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…672ebacked Yes60c81.25$49 inLost-$48.7513759.9%82 W · 55 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No42c65.2$28 inWon+$37.5233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No56c45.52$26 inWon+$19.8217547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2d…5d6cbacked Yes57c43.62$25 inLost-$25560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x920e…7873backed Yes58c43.1$25 inLost-$2511645.7%53 W · 63 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x565c…f3c0backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost-$2510855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1508…0648backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost-$2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd032…5136backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost-$2011450.9%58 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed No60c30$18 inWon+$12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed No42c26.02$11 inWon+$15.096445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ff…724abacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick45cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes59c25.42$15 inLost-$1527539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No42c25$10 inWon+$14.5529449.7%146 W · 148 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes59c21.61$13 inLost-$12.755561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc722…79c2backed Yes58c19.69$11 inLost-$11.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.