TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9608…8cf3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.53
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.66
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$28
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$37.6
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$46.87
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.76
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.16
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$70.68
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$53.58
Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$41.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.1%+$105.37
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.65
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$42.47
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.21
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 25.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+133.8%+$80.31
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.51
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$57.5
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.93
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.44
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.05
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.02
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$44.82
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$30.75
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.76
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$57
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$23.39
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.36
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.91
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Seasonbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.93
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+68.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$43.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.62
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.53
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC Augsburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.