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MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$305,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$293,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Kansas City Royals56c42,857$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,00025245.6%115 W · 137 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Chicago White Sox44c24,897$10,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,942.533060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Chicago White Sox45c23,000$10,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,65098849.9%493 W · 495 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Chicago White Sox44c22,878$10,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,811.5523948.5%116 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox45c16,254$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,939.521,69250.2%849 W · 843 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals19c13,794$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.2711,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Chicago White Sox66c12,798$8,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,355.33850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals55c11,661$6,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,398.323,54151%1,805 W · 1,736 L+53.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Chicago White Sox45c10,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,499.9360451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals55c9,523$5,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,237.571,53751.2%787 W · 750 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359c…3272backed Kansas City Royals55c8,563$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Kansas City Royals55c8,251$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.0589349.3%440 W · 453 L-4.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Kansas City Royals56c7,800$4,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,367.9917953.1%95 W · 84 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals38c7,201$2,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,722.84,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Chicago White Sox44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.972766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals56c5,700$3,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,19275248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dce…c58ebacked Kansas City Royals55c5,626$3,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,094.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Kansas City Royals65c5,000$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.014957.1%28 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Kansas City Royals0c4,800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox48c4,713$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.142,37547.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals16c4,512$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.821,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5205,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Chicago White Sox36c3,611$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,310.7654451.1%278 W · 266 L+23.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Chicago White Sox45c3,500$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9306349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Chicago White Sox45c3,500$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.996645.5%30 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Chicago White Sox45c3,500$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.976050%30 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Kansas City Royals56c3,334$1,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,867.23475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Kansas City Royals28c3,240$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.661351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox40c3,087$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,845.411,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Kansas City Royals55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6501,08348.1%521 W · 562 L-12.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Chicago White Sox45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506650%33 W · 33 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Chicago White Sox62c2,992$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.0611947.1%56 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox45c2,855$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.834,52448.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L-42.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Chicago White Sox44c2,807$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.1577951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Kansas City Royals55c2,342$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.8932351.7%167 W · 156 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago White Sox45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2270546.8%330 W · 375 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Kansas City Royals54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.841,35950.8%690 W · 669 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Chicago White Sox46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.9129649.7%147 W · 149 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Kansas City Royals55c2,072$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.62245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox56c1,973$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.694,42845.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L+87.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals17c1,958$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.658,45147.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L+81.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Kansas City Royals6c1,952$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5533515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2e…b95fbacked Kansas City Royals65c1,949$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox44c1,822$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.857,04650.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Kansas City Royals55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99028258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ad…45f9backed Kansas City Royals54c1,760$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.411741.9%49 W · 68 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals16c1,699$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox72c1,615$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.039,86246.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L+40.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d8c…35b0backed Kansas City Royals62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals49c1,586$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.092,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Chicago White Sox45c1,542$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.8973748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago White Sox45c1,500$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82545851.1%234 W · 224 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Kansas City Royals23c1,463$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.239153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Kansas City Royals9c1,440$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.711,52234.7%528 W · 994 L+27.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox56c1,425$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.956,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kansas City Royals5c1,313$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7785835.7%306 W · 552 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c6a…cbfbbacked Kansas City Royals8c1,290$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.446950.7%35 W · 34 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals8c1,288$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.811,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8829…cfcfbacked Kansas City Royals6c1,280$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Chicago White Sox45c1,181$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.862,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals33c1,175$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9260941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Chicago White Sox79c1,155$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.231,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Chicago White Sox74c1,144$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.9447589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Kansas City Royals55c1,121$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.7727351.3%140 W · 133 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals55c1,101$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.551,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…57a1backed Kansas City Royals55c1,099$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.44252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kansas City Royals36c1,036$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.795234.3%327 W · 625 L-1.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Kansas City Royals37c1,034$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.8318067.8%122 W · 58 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago White Sox45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0616248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Kansas City Royals3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.973729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago White Sox44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56067250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Kansas City Royals56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9924946.2%115 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Chicago White Sox45c961.8$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.9938553.8%207 W · 178 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kansas City Royals55c955$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.251,54348.6%750 W · 793 L-5.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Kansas City Royals3c949.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.554754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Kansas City Royals56c947.4$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5419752.3%103 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a90…1dddbacked Chicago White Sox45c902.45$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.352339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Chicago White Sox45c900$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4955653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals53c896.17$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.931,97053.1%1,047 W · 923 L+45.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox44c879.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.81,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals18c860.99$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8670735.1%248 W · 459 L-31.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals17c851.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.556,30948.2%3,044 W · 3,265 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Kansas City Royals59c819.81$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.135155.8%196 W · 155 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals47c775.7$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.095,23556.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L+130.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals3c712.71$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.592,06439.2%810 W · 1,254 L-29.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals25c639.37$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.71,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals55c570$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.546749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Chicago White Sox44c550$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3081,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cf…7260backed Kansas City Royals21c548.41$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Chicago White Sox37c540.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.542,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Kansas City Royals5c530$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Kansas City Royals55c519$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.4514047.1%66 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Chicago White Sox45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Chicago White Sox72c500$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.575944.4%337 W · 422 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Chicago White Sox44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28026857.8%155 W · 113 L+26.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals55c471.36$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.2550751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Kansas City Royals52c464.29$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4313649.3%67 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Chicago White Sox58c459.93$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.171,10648.7%539 W · 567 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Chicago White Sox64c458$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.281,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Kansas City Royals56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22423152.8%122 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.